TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134366
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1169111191113211
Daniel Zelezny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Zelezny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 94 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Daniel Zelezny at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 1–2 Daniel Zelezny Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zelezny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1531 vs Zelezny 1493
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Zelezny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Zelezny 40%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Zelezny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Zelezny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zelezny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13134366
Jr2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 34 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Zelezny1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 28 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJr1wins
AwayZelezny2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderZelezny leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr1Zelezny2n = 3Zelezny took 2 of 3
S2Jr2Zelezny1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S3Jr1Zelezny2n = 3Zelezny took 2 of 3
S4Jr1Zelezny2n = 3Zelezny took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJrZeleznyJ − ZBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.745.7−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 609 vs 111 / 21354.5%52.1%332 / 609 vs 111 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyJr 2.00/Zelezny 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJan 27 · 07:50T. Jr32711771D. Zelezny4111811113
LJan 3 · 10:25T. Jr51614111372D. Zelezny571116811113
WJan 3 · 08:50T. Jr48111196113D. Zelezny3976111142
T. Jr10
LSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113WSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692WSep 10 · 22:35M. Juhasz1.80381121T. Jr1.9011119113LSep 10 · 20:55T. Jr2.0071211101M. Juhasz1.7311144123WSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382WSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581LSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191LSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972
D. Zelezny10
LSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941WSep 15 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.361111123A. Jr3.0097100WSep 13 · 13:55L. Jirka2.07118641D. Zelezny1.6781111113WSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280LSep 13 · 11:55L. Jirka2.20111156123D. Zelezny1.61671111102LSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182LSep 12 · 21:58D. Zelezny1.671011561M. Boltik2.1012811113LSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 19:55M. Boltik1.803115101D. Zelezny1.9111511123LSep 12 · 19:25J. Dohnal1.67101111113D. Zelezny2.10129891
Upcoming Matches
T. Jr
Nothing scheduled
D. Zelezny
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