TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134169
Played Sep 15Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171210––––
Ales Brandtl Jr
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Zelezny to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Ales Brandtl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Daniel Zelezny at 57.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 2–0 Ales Brandtl Jr Ales Brandtl Jr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Zelezny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zelezny 1497 vs Jr 1404
Zelezny
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezny 40% vs Jr 20%
Zelezny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezny 40% vs Jr 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezny +2 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zelezny) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 1.36 / Jr 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Zelezny)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13134169
Zelezny1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 28 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Jr3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 72 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back28% 30 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZelezny2wins
AwayJr0wins
Zelezny leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZeleznyJrZ − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.028.5+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyJrBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 211 vs 253 / 54152.1%46.8%110 / 211 vs 253 / 541Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyZelezny 1.36/Jr 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 15 · 16:10D. Zelezny3911611113A. Jr33611791
WJul 24 · 14:20D. Zelezny331111113A. Jr249690
D. Zelezny10
WSep 13 · 13:55L. Jirka2.07118641D. Zelezny1.6781111113WSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280LSep 13 · 11:55L. Jirka2.20111156123D. Zelezny1.61671111102LSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182LSep 12 · 21:58D. Zelezny1.671011561M. Boltik2.1012811113LSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 19:55M. Boltik1.803115101D. Zelezny1.9111511123LSep 12 · 19:25J. Dohnal1.67101111113D. Zelezny2.10129891LSep 11 · 17:55J. Sebl1.6011118113D. Zelezny2.20561161WSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113
A. Jr10
WSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113LSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581WSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962LSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680LSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972LSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113LSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172WSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123WSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113
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