TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122159
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118511611––
Martin Boltik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Martin Boltik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 3–1 Martin Boltik Martin Boltik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zelezny beat Boltik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 1.67 / Boltik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zelezny)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13122159
Zelezny1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 27 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Boltik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZelezny3wins
AwayBoltik1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderZelezny leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezny100%3 of 3
AwayBoltikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny3Boltik1n = 4Zelezny took 3 of 4
S2Zelezny2Boltik2n = 4split evenly
S3Zelezny1Boltik3n = 4Boltik took 3 of 4
S4Zelezny3Boltik1n = 4Zelezny took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZeleznyBoltikZ − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.237.0+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyBoltikBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 206 vs 67 / 11352.4%59.3%108 / 206 vs 67 / 113Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyZelezny 1.67/Boltik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Boltik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 12 · 19:55D. Zelezny3911511123M. Boltik293115101
WApr 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny45125611113M. Boltik43101111472
WApr 12 · 20:50D. Zelezny4411139113M. Boltik368111161
LFeb 15 · 20:55D. Zelezny29811551M. Boltik4011711113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 19:55M. Boltik1.803115101D. Zelezny1.9111511123LSep 12 · 19:25J. Dohnal1.67101111113D. Zelezny2.10129891LSep 11 · 17:55J. Sebl1.6011118113D. Zelezny2.20561161WSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540
M. Boltik10
WSep 12 · 20:55M. Boltik2.10111257123J. Dohnal1.678101111102LSep 12 · 19:55M. Boltik1.803115101D. Zelezny1.9111511123LSep 12 · 18:55M. Boltik1.617990J. Sebl2.201111113WAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172WAug 18 · 19:55M. Boltik1.8311711113J. Cousin1.83611791
Upcoming Matches
D. Zelezny
M. Boltik
Nothing scheduled
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