TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123097
Played Sep 13Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171412118––––
Lukas Dominik Rek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Zelezny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Lukas Dominik Rek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Zelezny at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 1–2 Lukas Dominik Rek Daniel Zelezny has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zelezny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezny 1480 vs Rek 1489
Rek
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezny 20% vs Rek 80%
Rek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezny 30% vs Rek 70%
Rek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezny -4 · Rek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 1.73 / Rek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zelezny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13123097
Zelezny1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 26 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Rek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 6 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZelezny1wins
AwayRek2wins
Rek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny1Rek2n = 3Rek took 2 of 3
S2Zelezny2Rek1n = 3Zelezny took 2 of 3
S3Zelezny1Rek2n = 3Rek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricZeleznyRekZ − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match29.330.0−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyRekBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 209 vs 146 / 24551.7%59.6%108 / 209 vs 146 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyZelezny 1.73/Rek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 11 · 16:20D. Zelezny331111113L. Rek168530
LJun 1 · 17:25D. Zelezny33711781L. Rek3811511113
LJun 1 · 15:20D. Zelezny2273120L. Rek361111143
D. Zelezny10
LSep 13 · 11:55L. Jirka2.20111156123D. Zelezny1.61671111102LSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182LSep 12 · 21:58D. Zelezny1.671011561M. Boltik2.1012811113LSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 19:55M. Boltik1.803115101D. Zelezny1.9111511123LSep 12 · 19:25J. Dohnal1.67101111113D. Zelezny2.10129891LSep 11 · 17:55J. Sebl1.6011118113D. Zelezny2.20561161WSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241
L. Rek10
WSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152WSep 13 · 10:55L. Jirka1.7388191152L. Rek2.001111173113WSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162LSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113WSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110WSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Zelezny
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L. Rek
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