TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117672
Played Sep 12Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151181311––––
Petr Vodal
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Vodal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Petr Vodal at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 5–5 Petr Vodal Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:43What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1444 vs Vodal 1423
Rek
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Vodal 40%
Rek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 40% vs Vodal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +2 · Vodal -3
Vodal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.80 / Vodal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13117672
Rek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 67 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Vodal1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back33% 19 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek5wins
AwayVodal5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek57.1%4 of 7
AwayVodal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek7Vodal3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S2Rek6Vodal4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Rek1Vodal9n = 10Vodal took 9 of 10
S4Rek2Vodal7n = 9Vodal took 7 of 9
S5Rek4Vodal1n = 5Rek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekVodalR − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.242.1−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 240 vs 250 / 48959.2%51.1%142 / 240 vs 250 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.80/Vodal 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 10:03L. Rek44711411113P. Vodal4511511992
WJul 22 · 08:55L. Rek50111198113P. Vodal3646111142
WJun 26 · 18:03L. Rek4113116113P. Vodal351171161
LJun 26 · 15:55L. Rek32113991P. Vodal3741111113
LJun 9 · 16:50L. Rek29136100P. Vodal381511123
LJun 1 · 16:20L. Rek3611114642P. Vodal43641111113
WMay 17 · 10:35L. Rek51116124183P. Vodal557111011162
LMay 17 · 09:25L. Rek37811991P. Vodal4111811113
WMay 13 · 17:55L. Rek551411109113P. Vodal48129121142
LMay 13 · 16:50L. Rek27127171P. Vodal43101111113
L. Rek10
LSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113WSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101LSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113LSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772
P. Vodal10
LSep 12 · 14:02V. Koutnik1.5071312113P. Vodal2.4011111081LSep 12 · 13:25P. Vodal2.1012770V. Koutnik1.671411113LSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171LSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113LSep 12 · 09:25P. Vodal2.101284101B. Budik1.60101111123WSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113WSep 12 · 07:25C. Kratochvil2.25610110P. Vodal1.571112133LSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870WSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123LSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133
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