TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123069
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118118811911115
Jachym Sebl
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJachym Sebl to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Jachym Sebl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jachym Sebl at 66.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 2–9 Jachym Sebl Lukas Dominik Rek has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sebl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Sebl
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1471 vs Sebl 1769
Sebl
Wrong
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 80% vs Sebl 100%
Sebl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 70% vs Sebl 100%
Sebl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +2 · Sebl +5
Sebl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sebl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sebl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 2.50 / Sebl 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Sebl)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13123069
Rek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 6 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Sebl1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 77 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 61 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek1wins
AwaySebl9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSebl leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek33.3%1 of 3
AwaySebl100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek3Sebl7n = 10Sebl took 7 of 10
S2Rek3Sebl7n = 10Sebl took 7 of 10
S3Rek1Sebl9n = 10Sebl took 9 of 10
S4Rek4Sebl2n = 6Rek took 4 of 6
S5Rek0Sebl3n = 3Sebl took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekSeblR − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.738.9−7.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekSeblBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 244 vs 305 / 64259.4%47.5%145 / 244 vs 305 / 642Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeblRek 2.50/Sebl 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Sebl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek207760J. Sebl331111113
LSep 6 · 13:25L. Rek321174101J. Sebl4391111123
LSep 5 · 14:02L. Rek258890J. Sebl331111113
LSep 5 · 11:55L. Rek31125861J. Sebl43101111113
LAug 31 · 10:35L. Rek42411111152J. Sebl48118135113
LAug 31 · 07:55L. Rek197930J. Sebl331111113
WAug 9 · 19:55L. Rek4211911113J. Sebl25511541
LJul 23 · 12:20L. Rek4141251192J. Sebl501110117113
LJun 22 · 12:20L. Rek197840J. Sebl331111113
LJun 1 · 14:20L. Rek4671181192J. Sebl48117118113
L. Rek10
WSep 13 · 10:55L. Jirka1.7388191152L. Rek2.001111173113WSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162LSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113WSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110WSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113
J. Sebl10
WSep 13 · 12:55L. Jirka2.258720J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182WSep 12 · 22:30J. Sebl2.25111011113J. Dohnal1.57812961WSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 20:25J. Sebl2.7561111133J. Dohnal1.401196111WSep 12 · 18:55M. Boltik1.617990J. Sebl2.201111113WSep 11 · 17:55J. Sebl1.6011118113D. Zelezny2.20561161WSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113WSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Rek
J. Sebl
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