TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134543
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311119114––
Daniel Zelezny
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Zelezny to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 79 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Zelezny at 66.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 3–4 Daniel Zelezny Tomas Rein has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zelezny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1413 vs Zelezny 1507
Zelezny
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 0% vs Zelezny 60%
Zelezny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 10% vs Zelezny 40%
Zelezny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -5 · Zelezny +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 2.75 / Zelezny 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Zelezny)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13134543
Rein2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog33% won 88 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92
Zelezny1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 28 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRein3wins
AwayZelezny4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderZelezny leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein66.7%2 of 3
AwayZelezny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein3Zelezny4n = 7Zelezny took 4 of 7
S2Rein3Zelezny4n = 7Zelezny took 4 of 7
S3Rein5Zelezny2n = 7Rein took 5 of 7
S4Rein1Zelezny3n = 4Zelezny took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricReinZeleznyR − ZBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match34.936.4−1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 838 vs 111 / 21246.1%52.4%386 / 838 vs 111 / 212Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyRein 2.75/Zelezny 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 11 · 14:50T. Rein31691241D. Zelezny43111110113
WJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein511171111113D. Zelezny4213117382
LJun 4 · 16:50T. Rein2371060D. Zelezny341112113
WMay 29 · 17:20T. Rein331111113D. Zelezny259880
LMay 29 · 14:50T. Rein321174101D. Zelezny3841111123
WMay 16 · 18:03T. Rein331111113D. Zelezny259880
LMay 16 · 15:25T. Rein4171211382D. Zelezny481110511113
T. Rein10
WSep 15 · 16:50A. Jr1.835740T. Rein1.831111113LSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692LSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940LSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113LSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113LSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241
D. Zelezny10
WSep 15 · 16:20T. Jr2.00119111122D. Zelezny1.73611913113WSep 15 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.361111123A. Jr3.0097100WSep 13 · 13:55L. Jirka2.07118641D. Zelezny1.6781111113WSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280LSep 13 · 11:55L. Jirka2.20111156123D. Zelezny1.61671111102LSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182LSep 12 · 21:58D. Zelezny1.671011561M. Boltik2.1012811113LSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113WSep 12 · 19:55M. Boltik1.803115101D. Zelezny1.9111511123WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241
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