TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134518
Played Sep 15Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711411––––
Tomas Rein
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Rein to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 49 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Rein at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 22–19 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rein
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-19 in 41
Jr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1424 vs Rein 1428
Rein
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Rein 20%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Rein 10%
Jr
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Rein +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rein)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Rein 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rein)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13134518
Jr1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Rein1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr3wins
AwayRein7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRein leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%3 of 3
AwayRein100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr3Rein7n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S2Jr6Rein4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr4Rein6n = 10Rein took 6 of 10
S4Jr3Rein5n = 8Rein took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrReinJ − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.041.0−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrReinBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 535 vs 387 / 83946.5%46.1%249 / 535 vs 387 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReinJr 1.83/Rein 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rein · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 16:20A. Jr577111810112T. Rein581161612133
LAug 26 · 14:05A. Jr2367100T. Rein341111123
LAug 26 · 11:55A. Jr157350T. Rein331111113
LAug 22 · 10:03A. Jr371311761T. Rein4515811113
WAug 22 · 08:55A. Jr3812411113T. Rein351011861
LAug 21 · 15:50A. Jr30511951T. Rein4211911113
WAug 20 · 11:55A. Jr4011131153T. Rein4491111131
LAug 14 · 12:20A. Jr30712741T. Rein43111011113
LAug 13 · 10:50A. Jr4131111882T. Rein44115611113
WAug 5 · 11:55A. Jr3911611113T. Rein32711951
A. Jr10
LSep 15 · 17:20A. Jr1.801378101T. Jr1.91111111123WSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113LSep 15 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.361111123A. Jr3.0097100LSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581WSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962LSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680LSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972LSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113LSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172WSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123
T. Rein10
WSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941LSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692LSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940LSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113LSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113LSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241
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