TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149359
Played Sep 18Finished
Petr Kubat
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411118116411611
Lukas Dominik Rek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:01 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Dominik Rek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kubat above · Lukas Dominik Rek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 83 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Dominik Rek at 56.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kubat 1–0 Lukas Dominik Rek Lukas Dominik Rek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1427 vs Rek 1480
Rek
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 40% vs Rek 60%
Rek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 30% vs Rek 60%
Rek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat +2 · Rek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 2.00 / Rek 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Rek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13149359
Kubat2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 14 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Rek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKubat1wins
AwayRek0wins
Kubat leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKubatRekK − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.026.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatRekBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 247 vs 146 / 24736.4%59.1%90 / 247 vs 146 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekKubat 2.00/Rek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 20 · 15:20P. Kubat351111133L. Rek2678110
P. Kubat10
LSep 18 · 11:20P. Kubat1.61681361T. Jr2.20111111113WAug 27 · 17:25P. Kubat1.9114711143P. Vodal1.8012119121WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 27 · 14:50T. Rein1.331111113P. Kubat3.253540LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 14 · 13:30P. Kubat1.36119611113A. Jr3.0061111292
L. Rek10
WSep 18 · 11:50L. Rek1.5711114113A. Jr2.25681181LSep 13 · 14:25L. Rek2.255540J. Sebl1.551111113LSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280WSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152WSep 13 · 10:55L. Jirka1.7388191152L. Rek2.001111173113WSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162LSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113WSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110WSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562
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