TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149350
Played Sep 18Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118411118––
Ales Brandtl Jr
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Dominik Rek to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Ales Brandtl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Dominik Rek at 61.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 6–6 Ales Brandtl Jr Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1498 vs Jr 1431
Rek
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Jr 40%
Rek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 70% vs Jr 30%
Rek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.57 / Jr 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Rek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13149350
Rek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Jr2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 71 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back28% 30 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek5wins
AwayJr5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek57.1%4 of 7
AwayJr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek7Jr3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S2Rek6Jr4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Rek3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S4Rek3Jr3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekJrR − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.732.6+1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 247 vs 247 / 52959.1%46.7%146 / 247 vs 247 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.57/Jr 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 14:04L. Rek331111113A. Jr217680
LSep 6 · 10:55L. Rek4313115772A. Jr521181111113
LSep 5 · 11:25L. Rek238780A. Jr331111113
WAug 31 · 07:25L. Rek4061112113A. Jr321181031
LAug 9 · 21:55L. Rek218580A. Jr331111113
WAug 9 · 19:25L. Rek4111118113A. Jr32961161
LJun 26 · 16:55L. Rek33116881A. Jr4181111113
WMay 15 · 22:30L. Rek3511112113A. Jr25721151
LMay 15 · 20:25L. Rek35119871A. Jr3851111113
WMay 13 · 15:20L. Rek331111113A. Jr196670
L. Rek10
WSep 18 · 10:20P. Kubat2.0041111462L. Rek1.73118611113LSep 13 · 14:25L. Rek2.255540J. Sebl1.551111113LSep 13 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.731114113L. Rek2.0071280WSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152WSep 13 · 10:55L. Jirka1.7388191152L. Rek2.001111173113WSep 12 · 14:30L. Rek1.85121199113C. Kratochvil1.85109111162LSep 12 · 12:55L. Rek1.73117761C. Kratochvil2.0091111113WSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110WSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562
A. Jr10
WSep 18 · 12:20P. Kubat2.6310820A. Jr1.441211113WSep 18 · 10:50A. Jr1.73121511113T. Jr2.001017671LSep 15 · 17:20A. Jr1.801378101T. Jr1.91111111123LSep 15 · 16:50A. Jr1.835740T. Rein1.831111113WSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113LSep 15 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.361111123A. Jr3.0097100LSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581WSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962LSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680LSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972
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