TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145284
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Sebek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711711––––
Marek Dlask
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMarek Dlask to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Sebek above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Marek Dlask at 58.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Sebek 1–1 Marek Dlask Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dlask
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sebek 1262 vs Dlask 1397
Dlask
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sebek 40% vs Dlask 20%
Sebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sebek 30% vs Dlask 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sebek +1 · Dlask -4
Dlask
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dlask)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSebek 2.10 / Dlask 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Dlask)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13145284
Sebek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 17 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Dlask1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 33 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSebek1wins
AwayDlask1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSebekDlaskS − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match51.549.5+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSebekDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 373 vs 142 / 30349.6%46.9%185 / 373 vs 142 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskSebek 2.10/Dlask 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dlask won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 29 · 19:55O. Sebek511011111182M. Dlask51128137113
WMar 11 · 19:20O. Sebek52911911123M. Dlask48117119102
O. Sebek10
WSep 17 · 19:20O. Sebek3.4011101112113M. Nemec1.3081221462WSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143LSep 10 · 12:20O. Sebek2.006990L. Pour1.731111113LSep 10 · 11:20O. Sebek3.252850M. Nemec1.331111113LSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113WSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113WSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133LSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191LSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113LAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161
M. Dlask10
WSep 17 · 19:50M. Dlask1.501111113M. Kolbusovsky2.508260LSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec2.0011101311113M. Dlask1.7371215652LSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113LSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390LSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110WSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080LSep 10 · 20:20M. Dlask1.579151381J. Rolik2.25111315113WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask1.67121169113M. Nemec2.10109111152LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113
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