TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108784
Played Sep 10Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91115131315811––
Jakub Rolik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Rolik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Jakub Rolik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 95 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Rolik at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 32–17 Jakub Rolik Jakub Rolik has won 17 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:13What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dlask
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-17 in 49
Dlask
Wrong
gap of 15 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1489 vs Rolik 1362
Dlask
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 60% vs Rolik 20%
Dlask
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 50% vs Rolik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask +2 · Rolik -4
Rolik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Dlask) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 1.57 / Rolik 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Dlask)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13108784
Dlask1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 34 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Rolik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back29% 34 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask9wins
AwayRolik1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDlask leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask100%7 of 7
AwayRolik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask7Rolik3n = 10Dlask took 7 of 10
S2Dlask7Rolik3n = 10Dlask took 7 of 10
S3Dlask6Rolik4n = 10Dlask took 6 of 10
S4Dlask3Rolik4n = 7Rolik took 4 of 7
S5Dlask4Rolik0n = 4Dlask took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskRolikD − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.138.7+5.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskRolikBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 301 vs 309 / 64548.2%47.9%145 / 301 vs 309 / 645Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskDlask 1.57/Rolik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rolik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask—89100J. Rolik—1111123
WAug 19 · 20:20M. Dlask—111210113J. Rolik—9101291
WAug 18 · 18:50M. Dlask—911128113J. Rolik—119101152
WAug 10 · 21:20M. Dlask—111114133J. Rolik—91312111
WAug 10 · 18:50M. Dlask—911138113J. Rolik—118111182
WAug 3 · 21:23M. Dlask—111210143J. Rolik—81012121
WAug 3 · 20:20M. Dlask—119117113J. Rolik—41181162
WJul 29 · 20:20M. Dlask—1114911113J. Rolik—912111342
WJul 14 · 22:00M. Dlask—1111113J. Rolik—6860
WJul 14 · 20:20M. Dlask—1111113J. Rolik—9490
M. Dlask10
WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask1.67121169113M. Nemec2.10109111152LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850
J. Rolik10
LSep 10 · 19:50M. Nemec2.0011119173J. Rolik1.735711151LSep 10 · 18:50J. Rolik2.388460R. Zeman1.531111113LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123
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