TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108654
Played Sep 10Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118411611116115
Radek Zeman
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 84 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Radek Zeman at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 42–43 Radek Zeman Marek Dlask has won 42 of their 85 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:16What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-43 in 85
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1481 vs Zeman 1368
Dlask
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 40% vs Zeman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 40% vs Zeman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask +1 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 2.10 / Zeman 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zeman)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13108654
Dlask2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 29 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back37% 13 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Zeman1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 107 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it75% 83 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask5wins
AwayZeman5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask100%3 of 3
AwayZeman71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Dlask5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Dlask2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Dlask4Zeman4n = 8split evenly
S5Dlask5Zeman1n = 6Dlask took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskZemanD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.2−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 300 vs 318 / 60948%52.2%144 / 300 vs 318 / 609Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanDlask 2.10/Zeman 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dlask won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask—261181R. Zeman—11118113
LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask—61171182R. Zeman—118116113
WAug 25 · 18:50M. Dlask—111176133R. Zeman—691111112
LAug 19 · 21:58M. Dlask—611821R. Zeman—11511113
WAug 19 · 18:50M. Dlask—118411163R. Zeman—611117142
WAug 13 · 19:55M. Dlask—311611113R. Zeman—11911792
LAug 10 · 20:50M. Dlask—38110R. Zeman—1111133
LAug 4 · 21:23M. Dlask—68100R. Zeman—1111123
WAug 4 · 18:50M. Dlask—117711113R. Zeman—31111642
WAug 3 · 19:50M. Dlask—412116113R. Zeman—111091172
M. Dlask10
WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask1.67121169113M. Nemec2.10109111152LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:50M. Dlask3.001112541L. Vich1.3651411113WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask1.67119811113M. Nemec2.1091111972LAug 26 · 20:20M. Dlask1.5789100J. Rolik2.251111123LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask1.731111113M. Nemec2.009850LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113
R. Zeman10
WSep 10 · 18:50J. Rolik2.388460R. Zeman1.531111113LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask2.20261181R. Zeman1.6111118113WAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask2.2061171182R. Zeman1.61118116113
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