TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108605
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Rolik
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411611––––
Radek Zeman
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Rolik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Rolik above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Rolik at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Rolik 39–63 Radek Zeman Jakub Rolik has won 39 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-63 in 102
Zeman
Correct
gap of 24 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolik 1391 vs Zeman 1353
Rolik
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolik 60% vs Zeman 40%
Rolik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolik 60% vs Zeman 40%
Rolik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolik -2 · Zeman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolik 2.38 / Zeman 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zeman)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13108605
Rolik2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back29% 34 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 64
Zeman1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 107 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it75% 83 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolik3wins
AwayZeman7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZeman75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolik2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S2Rolik3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Rolik6Zeman4n = 10Rolik took 6 of 10
S4Rolik2Zeman4n = 6Zeman took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolikZemanR − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.538.9−3.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolikZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 643 vs 324 / 61648.1%52.6%309 / 643 vs 324 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanRolik 2.38/Zeman 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 17:50J. Rolik—61260R. Zeman—1114113
WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik—781111113R. Zeman—11114462
LAug 26 · 21:50J. Rolik—119691R. Zeman—61111113
WAug 26 · 18:50J. Rolik—131111113R. Zeman—156871
LAug 19 · 19:20J. Rolik—5111610102R. Zeman—1161412123
LAug 10 · 19:50J. Rolik—951441R. Zeman—111112113
LAug 3 · 18:20J. Rolik—48110R. Zeman—1111133
LAug 2 · 10:50J. Rolik—11450R. Zeman—1311113
LJul 24 · 19:50J. Rolik—1561181R. Zeman—17115113
WJul 20 · 20:20J. Rolik—1113113R. Zeman—81190
J. Rolik10
LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:20P. Cibik1.50117611113J. Rolik2.5091111982
R. Zeman10
LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462
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