TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134531
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611411––––
Radek Zeman
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 47 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Radek Zeman at 56.6%
47 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 44–44 Radek Zeman Dead even across their 88 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-44 in 88
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1428 vs Zeman 1448
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 40% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 40% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask -2 · Zeman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 2.10 / Zeman 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zeman)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13134531
Dlask2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 26 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back34% 11 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Zeman1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 110 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it89% 67 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it79% 87 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDlask5wins
AwayZeman5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask100%4 of 4
AwayZeman83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask4Zeman6n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S2Dlask5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Dlask2Zeman8n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Dlask4Zeman3n = 7Dlask took 4 of 7
S5Dlask4Zeman1n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDlaskZemanD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.4−5.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 302 vs 319 / 61147%52.2%142 / 302 vs 319 / 611Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanDlask 2.10/Zeman 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask144640R. Zeman331111113
WSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask341112113R. Zeman2571080
WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask43114611113R. Zeman4181111652
LAug 26 · 19:20M. Dlask27261181R. Zeman4111118113
LAug 25 · 21:25M. Dlask4361171182R. Zeman47118116113
WAug 25 · 18:50M. Dlask48111176133R. Zeman48691111112
LAug 19 · 21:58M. Dlask27611821R. Zeman3811511113
WAug 19 · 18:50M. Dlask50118411163R. Zeman49611117142
WAug 13 · 19:55M. Dlask42311611113R. Zeman4711911792
LAug 10 · 20:50M. Dlask2238110R. Zeman351111133
M. Dlask10
LSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec2.0011101311113M. Dlask1.7371215652LSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390LSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110WSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080LSep 10 · 20:20M. Dlask1.579151381J. Rolik2.25111315113WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask1.67121169113M. Nemec2.10109111152LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161
R. Zeman10
WSep 15 · 19:50R. Zeman3.00811128113J. Mach1.36119101192WSep 15 · 18:20M. Nemec3.0011611952R. Zeman1.36211411113LSep 13 · 13:55P. Cibik1.6161113113R. Zeman2.201191171WSep 13 · 12:20M. Nemec2.753770R. Zeman1.401111113LSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik1.531111123R. Zeman2.3857100WSep 13 · 10:50R. Zeman1.731511123Z. Dusek2.00138100WSep 12 · 18:00R. Zeman1.131211113M. Kolbusovsky5.5010370WSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652
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