TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119155
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116116––––
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Radek Zeman at 79.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 15–5 Michal Kolbusovsky Michal Kolbusovsky has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Zeman
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1382 vs Kolbusovsky 1385
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 20% vs Kolbusovsky 40%
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 30% vs Kolbusovsky 50%
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -3 · Kolbusovsky -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.25 / Kolbusovsky 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Zeman)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13119155
Zeman1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 109 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 85 of 112
Kolbusovsky3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman8wins
AwayKolbusovsky2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman100%7 of 7
AwayKolbusovsky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Kolbusovsky3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zeman7Kolbusovsky3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Zeman6Kolbusovsky4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S4Zeman4Kolbusovsky1n = 5Zeman took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanKolbusovskyZ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.230.1+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 610 vs 211 / 45252%46.7%317 / 610 vs 211 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.25/Kolbusovsky 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 15:20R. Zeman341211113M. Kolbusovsky2210390
WJul 24 · 20:50R. Zeman331111113M. Kolbusovsky176560
WJul 11 · 20:55R. Zeman4011711113M. Kolbusovsky26511551
WJun 16 · 14:50R. Zeman4411148113M. Kolbusovsky347121141
WMay 31 · 15:50R. Zeman331111113M. Kolbusovsky216960
WMay 24 · 12:50R. Zeman351111133M. Kolbusovsky2357110
WMay 17 · 11:50R. Zeman46111311113M. Kolbusovsky28515261
LMay 3 · 17:49R. Zeman184950M. Kolbusovsky331111113
WMay 3 · 15:20R. Zeman536111111143M. Kolbusovsky54119139122
LFeb 16 · 19:50R. Zeman367117111M. Kolbusovsky4311811133
R. Zeman10
LSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113LSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080WSep 10 · 20:50R. Zeman1.441114123M. Nemec2.63612100LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:50J. Rolik2.388460R. Zeman1.531111113LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102LSep 12 · 15:25M. Kolbusovsky2.509870O. Hula1.501111113LSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981LSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:20J. Rolik1.441181171M. Kolbusovsky2.6371113113WSep 11 · 18:50M. Nemec1.61812611102M. Kolbusovsky2.201110114123LSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143LSep 10 · 12:50M. Nemec1.531112113M. Kolbusovsky2.3881060WSep 10 · 11:50M. Kolbusovsky1.73101211113L. Pour2.001210781WSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.