TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106878
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Nemec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Nemec to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Michal Nemec at 61.2%
58 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 35–22 Michal Kolbusovsky Michal Kolbusovsky has won 22 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:03What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Nemec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-22 in 57
Nemec
Correct
gap of 13 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nemec 1305 vs Kolbusovsky 1397
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nemec 40% vs Kolbusovsky 80%
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nemec 30% vs Kolbusovsky 80%
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nemec +1 · Kolbusovsky +4
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Nemec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 1.53 / Kolbusovsky 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Nemec)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13106878
Nemec1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 88 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it78% 59 of 76
Kolbusovsky2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 57 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec6wins
AwayKolbusovsky4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderNemec leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec75%3 of 4
AwayKolbusovsky50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec4Kolbusovsky6n = 10Kolbusovsky took 6 of 10
S2Nemec5Kolbusovsky5n = 10split evenly
S3Nemec8Kolbusovsky2n = 10Nemec took 8 of 10
S4Nemec5Kolbusovsky4n = 9Nemec took 5 of 9
S5Nemec3Kolbusovsky3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecKolbusovskyN − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.943.6+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 776 vs 209 / 44548.1%47%373 / 776 vs 209 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NemecNemec 1.53/Kolbusovsky 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Nemec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nemec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 17:25M. Nemec—1161171M. Kolbusovsky—13117113
LSep 4 · 14:20M. Nemec—111241182M. Kolbusovsky—914116113
LSep 2 · 16:20M. Nemec—68111132M. Kolbusovsky—111158113
WJul 24 · 19:20M. Nemec—911118113M. Kolbusovsky—11551152
LJul 15 · 12:20M. Nemec—91114732M. Kolbusovsky—1171211113
WJul 14 · 12:20M. Nemec—1111236113M. Kolbusovsky—54251192
WJul 11 · 19:55M. Nemec—10121111113M. Kolbusovsky—12147872
WJul 9 · 21:20M. Nemec—71611113M. Kolbusovsky—1114471
WJul 9 · 20:50M. Nemec—1113113M. Kolbusovsky—91180
WJul 8 · 13:20M. Nemec—131011143M. Kolbusovsky—11127121
M. Nemec10
WSep 10 · 11:20O. Sebek3.252850M. Nemec1.331111113LSep 10 · 10:50L. Pour1.91111211123M. Nemec1.8061013101LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113WSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113WSep 6 · 10:50Z. Vyskocil1.508990M. Nemec2.501111113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171LSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770LSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143WSep 10 · 11:50M. Kolbusovsky1.73101211113L. Pour2.001210781WSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113WSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171WSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282LSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113WSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182WSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38111158113M. Nemec1.5368111132LSep 2 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky3.5041151192M. Cesak1.28117118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Nemec
M. Kolbusovsky
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.