TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119201
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511911118118511
Pavel Cibik
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timePavel Cibik to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 2-6
Point 82 set 5, 2-6 — our read held Pavel Cibik at 64.4%
82 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Zeman 9–16 Pavel Cibik Radek Zeman has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Cibik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Cibik
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1357 vs Cibik 1501
Cibik
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 40% vs Cibik 100%
Cibik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 40% vs Cibik 80%
Cibik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Cibik +5
Cibik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Cibik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cibik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 2.38 / Cibik 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Cibik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13119201
Zeman2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Cibik1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman4wins
AwayCibik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCibik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZemann = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCibik55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman1Cibik9n = 10Cibik took 9 of 10
S2Zeman4Cibik6n = 10Cibik took 6 of 10
S3Zeman3Cibik7n = 10Cibik took 7 of 10
S4Zeman5Cibik1n = 6Zeman took 5 of 6
S5Zeman3Cibik2n = 5Zeman took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanCibikZ − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.741.6−2.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 612 vs 308 / 67952.1%45.4%319 / 612 vs 308 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikZeman 2.38/Cibik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman165740P. Cibik331111113
WSep 7 · 20:20R. Zeman52871211143P. Cibik471111103122
LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman35141380P. Cibik421615113
LAug 30 · 21:24R. Zeman1610060P. Cibik341211113
LAug 30 · 20:20R. Zeman53914812102P. Cibik5611121110123
WAug 13 · 22:25R. Zeman494121111113P. Cibik4211146832
WAug 13 · 18:55R. Zeman46711611113P. Cibik4311711952
LAug 9 · 10:20R. Zeman481111106102P. Cibik44451211123
LAug 5 · 18:20R. Zeman2914780P. Cibik381611113
WAug 4 · 20:50R. Zeman4381212113P. Cibik3711101061
R. Zeman10
LSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080WSep 10 · 20:50R. Zeman1.441114123M. Nemec2.63612100LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:50J. Rolik2.388460R. Zeman1.531111113LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183
P. Cibik10
WSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981WSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:50P. Cibik1.571191011113M. Nemec2.2551112892WSep 11 · 18:20J. Rolik2.254980P. Cibik1.571111113WSep 9 · 17:50Z. Dusek1.83111011662P. Cibik1.83812911113LSep 9 · 16:50Z. Dusek1.8351111113P. Cibik1.83118691WSep 9 · 15:50P. Cibik2.10115811113M. Cesak1.6781111662WSep 9 · 14:20S. Matousch1.9171111942P. Cibik1.80119911113WSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113LSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143
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