TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119902
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511811––––
Ondrej Hula
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Hula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Ondrej Hula below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Hula at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 2–1 Ondrej Hula Ondrej Hula has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1402 vs Hula 1551
Hula
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 40% vs Hula 80%
Hula
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 40% vs Hula 70%
Hula
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -2 · Hula +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hula form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.83 / Hula 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hula)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13119902
Zeman1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Hula1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZeman2wins
AwayHula1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderZeman leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman2Hula1n = 3Zeman took 2 of 3
S2Zeman2Hula1n = 3Zeman took 2 of 3
S3Zeman1Hula2n = 3Hula took 2 of 3
S4Zeman1Hula2n = 3Hula took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZemanHulaZ − HBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.034.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanHulaBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 609 vs 34 / 6952.1%49.3%317 / 609 vs 34 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HulaZeman 1.83/Hula 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 11 · 20:25R. Zeman47118116113O. Hula4031181172
WJul 4 · 15:25R. Zeman4211119113O. Hula28661151
LMar 15 · 16:20R. Zeman341011581O. Hula3412011113
R. Zeman10
LSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080WSep 10 · 20:50R. Zeman1.441114123M. Nemec2.63612100LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:50J. Rolik2.388460R. Zeman1.531111113LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183
O. Hula10
WSep 12 · 15:25M. Kolbusovsky2.509870O. Hula1.501111113WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113WAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr1.8311831192O. Hula1.83811116113WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113WAug 11 · 09:25O. Hula1.80711511113S. Matousch1.9111711982WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113WAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr2.001481171O. Hula1.7316115113LJul 15 · 18:25M. Zajicek1.25111388113O. Hula3.40911111192
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