TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12431952
Played Aug 14Finished
Ondrej Hula
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Pavel Cibik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:01 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Hula to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Hula above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Hula at 58.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Hula 4–4 Pavel Cibik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hula 1527 vs Cibik 1571
Cibik
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hula 80% vs Cibik 60%
Hula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hula 70% vs Cibik 50%
Hula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hula +2 · Cibik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hula) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hula form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHula 1.80 / Cibik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hula)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12431952
Hula1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 12 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Cibik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 70 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHula4wins
AwayCibik4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHula100%3 of 3
AwayCibik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hula3Cibik5n = 8Cibik took 5 of 8
S2Hula5Cibik3n = 8Hula took 5 of 8
S3Hula2Cibik6n = 8Cibik took 6 of 8
S4Hula5Cibik2n = 7Hula took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHulaCibikH − CBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.838.9+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHulaCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 68 vs 314 / 69948.5%44.9%33 / 68 vs 314 / 699Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HulaHula 1.80/Cibik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula—8880P. Cibik—1111113
WJul 13 · 11:25O. Hula—11911113P. Cibik—811791
LJul 6 · 22:30O. Hula—8111171P. Cibik—11137113
WJul 6 · 20:55O. Hula—11119113P. Cibik—531171
WJul 4 · 17:25O. Hula—11119123P. Cibik—5611101
LMay 2 · 18:40O. Hula—51161392P. Cibik—1171111113
WMay 2 · 17:25O. Hula—1511812113P. Cibik—178111082
LJan 25 · 12:25O. Hula—1011351P. Cibik—12411113
O. Hula10
WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791WAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr1.8311831192O. Hula1.83811116113WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113WAug 11 · 09:25O. Hula1.80711511113S. Matousch1.9111711982WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113WAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr2.001481171O. Hula1.7316115113LJul 15 · 18:25M. Zajicek1.25111388113O. Hula3.40911111192WJul 15 · 16:55O. Hula2.101111113M. Juhasz1.677930WJul 15 · 15:55O. Hula2.50411512113M. Cesak1.50116111092
P. Cibik10
LSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:50M. Nemec2.2051350P. Cibik1.611115113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Cibik2.1078110Z. Vyskocil1.671111133WSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123WSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113LSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881LSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113LSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:50M. Cesak1.44711415102P. Cibik2.631151113123
Upcoming Matches
O. Hula
Nothing scheduled
P. Cibik1 of 1 neutral
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