TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12432048
Played Aug 14Finished
Josef Vintr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118811311116911
Ondrej Hula
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Vintr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Vintr above · Ondrej Hula below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Josef Vintr at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Josef Vintr 1–3 Ondrej Hula Josef Vintr has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Hula
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vintr 1563 vs Hula 1527
Vintr
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vintr 80% vs Hula 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vintr 60% vs Hula 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vintr +4 · Hula +1
Vintr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vintr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hula form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVintr 1.83 / Hula 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vintr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12432048
Vintr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hula1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVintr1wins
AwayHula3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderHula leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vintr2Hula2n = 4split evenly
S2Vintr1Hula3n = 4Hula took 3 of 4
S3Vintr2Hula2n = 4split evenly
S4Vintr1Hula3n = 4Hula took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVintrHulaV − HBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.846.8−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVintrHulaBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 56 vs 33 / 6858.9%48.5%33 / 56 vs 33 / 68Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.240.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VintrVintr 1.83/Hula 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vintr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr—11831192O. Hula—811116113
WAug 11 · 10:35J. Vintr—154118113O. Hula—131181192
LAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr—1481171O. Hula—16115113
LMay 2 · 15:25J. Vintr—1013761O. Hula—121111113
J. Vintr10
LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113WSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660
O. Hula10
WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113WAug 11 · 09:25O. Hula1.80711511113S. Matousch1.9111711982WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113WAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr2.001481171O. Hula1.7316115113LJul 15 · 18:25M. Zajicek1.25111388113O. Hula3.40911111192WJul 15 · 16:55O. Hula2.101111113M. Juhasz1.677930WJul 15 · 15:55O. Hula2.50411512113M. Cesak1.50116111092
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