TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12399856
Played Aug 11Finished
Ondrej Hula
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711117511119118
Simon Matousch
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Hula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Hula above · Simon Matousch below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Hula at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hula 1499 vs Matousch 1381
Hula
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hula 80% vs Matousch 0%
Hula
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hula 60% vs Matousch 30%
Hula
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hula +2 · Matousch -5
Matousch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matousch form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHula 1.80 / Matousch 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hula)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12399856
Hula1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Matousch1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 16 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHulaMatouschBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 62 vs 160 / 32946.8%48.6%29 / 62 vs 160 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HulaHula 1.80/Matousch 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Hula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hula won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Hula10
WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113WAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr1.8311831192O. Hula1.83811116113WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113WAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr2.001481171O. Hula1.7316115113LJul 15 · 18:25M. Zajicek1.25111388113O. Hula3.40911111192WJul 15 · 16:55O. Hula2.101111113M. Juhasz1.677930WJul 15 · 15:55O. Hula2.50411512113M. Cesak1.50116111092
S. Matousch10
LSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530LSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113WSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100LSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113LSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:50S. Matousch1.677611131J. Rolik2.1011119153LSep 1 · 10:20P. Cibik1.8351111113S. Matousch1.83118791WAug 31 · 22:00L. Vich1.67111011772S. Matousch2.07512911113LAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113
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