Josef Vintr vs Ondrej Hula 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12399832

Played Aug 11Finished

Josef Vintr

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1416811115711––

Ondrej Hula

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Josef Vintr to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJosef Vintr above · Ondrej Hula below

Set 1 · 14-16

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 83 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Josef Vintr at 54.0%

83 points played in total.

H2H Josef Vintr 1–2 Ondrej Hula Josef Vintr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 1–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 23:15

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Hula

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-2 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vintr 1579 vs Hula 1498

Vintr

Wrong

both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vintr 40% vs Hula 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vintr 60% vs Hula 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vintr +1 · Hula -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hula) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hula form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVintr 2.00 / Hula 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Hula)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #12399832

Vintr2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog56% won 10 of 18

Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5

Hula1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite52% won 12 of 23

Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeVintr1wins

AwayHula2wins

1 of 3 to a deciderHula leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vintr1Hula2n = 3Hula took 2 of 3

S2Vintr1Hula2n = 3Hula took 2 of 3

S3Vintr2Hula1n = 3Vintr took 2 of 3

S4Vintr0Hula3n = 3Hula took 3 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away267%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricVintrHulaV − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.746.7−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVintrHulaBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 52 vs 30 / 6459.6%46.9%31 / 52 vs 30 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hula

Vintr 2.00/Hula 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Hula · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Hula won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

WAug 11 · 10:35J. Vintr—154118113O. Hula—131181192

LAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr—1481171O. Hula—16115113

LMay 2 · 15:25J. Vintr—1013761O. Hula—121111113

J. Vintr10

LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123 LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143 LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100 WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113 WSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143 WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121 LSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112 WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113 WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113 WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660

O. Hula10

WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791 LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113 WAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr1.8311831192O. Hula1.83811116113 WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113 LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113 WAug 11 · 09:25O. Hula1.80711511113S. Matousch1.9111711982 WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113 LJul 15 · 18:25M. Zajicek1.25111388113O. Hula3.40911111192 WJul 15 · 16:55O. Hula2.101111113M. Juhasz1.677930 WJul 15 · 15:55O. Hula2.50411512113M. Cesak1.50116111092

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.