TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119781
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Kolbusovsky
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811711––––
Ondrej Hula
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Hula to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kolbusovsky above · Ondrej Hula below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-8
Point 49 set 3, 2-8 — our read held Ondrej Hula at 55.3%
49 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Kolbusovsky 2–2 Ondrej Hula Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbusovsky 1396 vs Hula 1527
Hula
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbusovsky 40% vs Hula 60%
Hula
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbusovsky 60% vs Hula 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbusovsky -2 · Hula +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hula) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbusovsky 2.50 / Hula 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Hula)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13119781
Kolbusovsky2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Hula1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 13 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolbusovsky2wins
AwayHula2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbusovsky50%2 of 4
AwayHulan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbusovsky4Hula0n = 4Kolbusovsky took 4 of 4
S2Kolbusovsky1Hula3n = 4Hula took 3 of 4
S3Kolbusovsky0Hula4n = 4Hula took 4 of 4
S4Kolbusovsky4Hula0n = 4Kolbusovsky took 4 of 4
S5Kolbusovsky1Hula2n = 3Hula took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolbusovskyHulaK − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match48.847.8+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbusovskyHulaBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 451 vs 33 / 6846.8%48.5%211 / 451 vs 33 / 68Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HulaKolbusovsky 2.50/Hula 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Hula · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky4011271192O. Hula44511116113
LJul 11 · 22:03M. Kolbusovsky4711971192O. Hula49811118113
WJul 11 · 18:55M. Kolbusovsky5018118133O. Hula4716911111
WFeb 21 · 12:55M. Kolbusovsky581681211113O. Hula51141114842
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981LSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:20J. Rolik1.441181171M. Kolbusovsky2.6371113113WSep 11 · 18:50M. Nemec1.61812611102M. Kolbusovsky2.201110114123LSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143LSep 10 · 12:50M. Nemec1.531112113M. Kolbusovsky2.3881060WSep 10 · 11:50M. Kolbusovsky1.73101211113L. Pour2.001210781WSep 10 · 10:20O. Sebek1.7398111162M. Kolbusovsky2.00111176113WSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171WSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282
O. Hula10
WSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113WAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr1.8311831192O. Hula1.83811116113WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113WAug 11 · 09:25O. Hula1.80711511113S. Matousch1.9111711982WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113WAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr2.001481171O. Hula1.7316115113LJul 15 · 18:25M. Zajicek1.25111388113O. Hula3.40911111192
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