TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125011
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111191311117––
Radek Zeman
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 79 set 4, 11-7
79 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 18–9 Radek Zeman Radek Zeman has won 9 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cibik beat Zeman 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Cibik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 1.61 / Zeman 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Cibik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13125011
Cibik1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 65 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Zeman2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 29 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCibik7wins
AwayZeman3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderCibik leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik66.7%6 of 9
AwayZemann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik9Zeman1n = 10Cibik took 9 of 10
S2Cibik7Zeman3n = 10Cibik took 7 of 10
S3Cibik7Zeman3n = 10Cibik took 7 of 10
S4Cibik1Zeman5n = 6Zeman took 5 of 6
S5Cibik3Zeman3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCibikZemanC − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.437.8+4.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 682 vs 321 / 61545.9%52.2%313 / 682 vs 321 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikCibik 1.61/Zeman 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik341111123R. Zeman2257100
WSep 12 · 14:55P. Cibik49111188113R. Zeman4159111152
WSep 7 · 21:20P. Cibik331111113R. Zeman165740
LSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik471111103122R. Zeman52871211143
WSep 6 · 10:20P. Cibik421615113R. Zeman35141380
WAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik341211113R. Zeman1610060
WAug 30 · 20:20P. Cibik5611121110123R. Zeman53914812102
LAug 13 · 22:25P. Cibik4211146832R. Zeman494121111113
LAug 13 · 18:55P. Cibik4311711952R. Zeman46711611113
WAug 9 · 10:20P. Cibik44451211123R. Zeman481111106102
P. Cibik10
WSep 13 · 12:50Z. Dusek1.837111091P. Cibik1.8311812113WSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik1.531111123R. Zeman2.3857100WSep 13 · 10:20M. Nemec2.2511126101P. Cibik1.5741411123WSep 12 · 18:29O. Hula1.67119891P. Cibik2.1061111113LSep 12 · 17:25O. Hula2.10111213113P. Cibik1.6713101121WSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102WSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113WSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981WSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:50P. Cibik1.571191011113M. Nemec2.2551112892
R. Zeman10
WSep 13 · 12:20M. Nemec2.753770R. Zeman1.401111113LSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik1.531111123R. Zeman2.3857100WSep 13 · 10:50R. Zeman1.731511123Z. Dusek2.00138100WSep 12 · 18:00R. Zeman1.131211113M. Kolbusovsky5.5010370WSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113LSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080WSep 10 · 20:50R. Zeman1.441114123M. Nemec2.63612100LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652
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