TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120092
Played Sep 12Finished
Ondrej Hula
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111312101311112––
Pavel Cibik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Cibik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Hula above · Pavel Cibik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 83 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Pavel Cibik at 55.8%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Hula 4–4 Pavel Cibik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cibik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hula 1572 vs Cibik 1460
Hula
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hula 80% vs Cibik 100%
Cibik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hula 80% vs Cibik 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hula +3 · Cibik +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cibik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cibik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHula 2.10 / Cibik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Cibik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13120092
Hula2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back57% 8 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Cibik1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHula4wins
AwayCibik4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHula100%3 of 3
AwayCibik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hula3Cibik5n = 8Cibik took 5 of 8
S2Hula5Cibik3n = 8Hula took 5 of 8
S3Hula2Cibik6n = 8Cibik took 6 of 8
S4Hula5Cibik2n = 7Hula took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHulaCibikH − CBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.838.9+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHulaCibikBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 70 vs 309 / 67850%45.6%35 / 70 vs 309 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CibikHula 2.10/Cibik 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Cibik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula248880P. Cibik331111113
WJul 13 · 11:25O. Hula4211911113P. Cibik35811791
LJul 6 · 22:30O. Hula378111171P. Cibik4211137113
WJul 6 · 20:55O. Hula4211119113P. Cibik26531171
WJul 4 · 17:25O. Hula4311119123P. Cibik325611101
LMay 2 · 18:40O. Hula4451161392P. Cibik511171111113
WMay 2 · 17:25O. Hula571511812113P. Cibik54178111082
LJan 25 · 12:25O. Hula291011351P. Cibik3812411113
O. Hula10
WSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113WSep 12 · 15:25M. Kolbusovsky2.509870O. Hula1.501111113WAug 14 · 17:20O. Hula1.3611711113J. Brynych3.00711791LAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113WAug 14 · 15:20J. Vintr1.8311831192O. Hula1.83811116113WAug 14 · 14:50J. Brynych2.104460O. Hula1.671111113LAug 11 · 10:35O. Hula1.73131181192J. Vintr2.00154118113WAug 11 · 09:25O. Hula1.80711511113S. Matousch1.9111711982WAug 11 · 07:55M. Kolbusovsky2.5011271192O. Hula1.50511116113WAug 11 · 07:25J. Vintr2.001481171O. Hula1.7316115113
P. Cibik10
WSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102WSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113WSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981WSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:50P. Cibik1.571191011113M. Nemec2.2551112892WSep 11 · 18:20J. Rolik2.254980P. Cibik1.571111113WSep 9 · 17:50Z. Dusek1.83111011662P. Cibik1.83812911113LSep 9 · 16:50Z. Dusek1.8351111113P. Cibik1.83118691WSep 9 · 15:50P. Cibik2.10115811113M. Cesak1.6781111662WAug 14 · 16:50O. Hula1.808880P. Cibik1.911111113
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