TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121322
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210113117––––
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7
54 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 16–5 Michal Kolbusovsky Michal Kolbusovsky has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zeman beat Kolbusovsky 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (0%) is below what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.13 / Kolbusovsky 5.50
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Zeman)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13121322
Zeman1.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 109 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 85 of 112
Kolbusovsky5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman9wins
AwayKolbusovsky1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman100%8 of 8
AwayKolbusovskyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman8Kolbusovsky2n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S2Zeman7Kolbusovsky3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Zeman7Kolbusovsky3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S4Zeman4Kolbusovsky0n = 4Zeman took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanKolbusovskyZ − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.927.4+9.5per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 611 vs 211 / 45452.1%46.5%318 / 611 vs 211 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.13/Kolbusovsky 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman331111113M. Kolbusovsky164660
WSep 4 · 15:20R. Zeman341211113M. Kolbusovsky2210390
WJul 24 · 20:50R. Zeman331111113M. Kolbusovsky176560
WJul 11 · 20:55R. Zeman4011711113M. Kolbusovsky26511551
WJun 16 · 14:50R. Zeman4411148113M. Kolbusovsky347121141
WMay 31 · 15:50R. Zeman331111113M. Kolbusovsky216960
WMay 24 · 12:50R. Zeman351111133M. Kolbusovsky2357110
WMay 17 · 11:50R. Zeman46111311113M. Kolbusovsky28515261
LMay 3 · 17:49R. Zeman184950M. Kolbusovsky331111113
WMay 3 · 15:20R. Zeman536111111143M. Kolbusovsky54119139122
R. Zeman10
WSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113LSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080WSep 10 · 20:50R. Zeman1.441114123M. Nemec2.63612100LSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:50J. Rolik2.388460R. Zeman1.531111113LSep 7 · 21:20R. Zeman2.025740P. Cibik1.701111113WSep 7 · 20:20P. Cibik1.611111103122R. Zeman2.20871211143LSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102LSep 12 · 15:25M. Kolbusovsky2.509870O. Hula1.501111113LSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981LSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:20J. Rolik1.441181171M. Kolbusovsky2.6371113113WSep 11 · 18:50M. Nemec1.61812611102M. Kolbusovsky2.201110114123LSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143LSep 10 · 12:50M. Nemec1.531112113M. Kolbusovsky2.3881060WSep 10 · 11:50M. Kolbusovsky1.73101211113L. Pour2.001210781
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