TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134419
Played Sep 15Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111191210811119
Jakub Mach
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Mach to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Jakub Mach below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Mach at 75.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 3–14 Jakub Mach Radek Zeman has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-14 in 17
Mach
Wrong
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1419 vs Mach 1553
Mach
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Mach 80%
Mach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Mach 80%
Mach
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +1 · Mach +4
Mach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Mach) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 3.00 / Mach 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Mach)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13134419
Zeman3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 29 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Mach1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 43 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman2wins
AwayMach8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMach leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman50%2 of 4
AwayMach100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman4Mach6n = 10Mach took 6 of 10
S2Zeman2Mach8n = 10Mach took 8 of 10
S3Zeman4Mach6n = 10Mach took 6 of 10
S4Zeman2Mach6n = 8Mach took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanMachZ − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.742.2−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanMachBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 609 vs 201 / 41552.1%48.4%317 / 609 vs 201 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachZeman 3.00/Mach 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 19:20R. Zeman37119891J. Mach3741111113
LAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman1910270J. Mach341211113
LAug 9 · 11:20R. Zeman4251281162J. Mach491110116113
LJul 25 · 14:25R. Zeman4416101171J. Mach4618125113
LJul 25 · 11:25R. Zeman2631490J. Mach381116113
LJul 22 · 19:50R. Zeman321172121J. Mach4591111143
LJul 20 · 18:50R. Zeman326111141J. Mach4311813113
WJul 14 · 21:30R. Zeman53118117163J. Mach53811911142
LJul 14 · 20:50R. Zeman28441281J. Mach43111110113
WJun 14 · 10:20R. Zeman44111111113J. Mach34613781
R. Zeman10
WSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113WSep 15 · 18:20M. Nemec3.0011611952R. Zeman1.36211411113LSep 13 · 13:55P. Cibik1.6161113113R. Zeman2.201191171WSep 13 · 12:20M. Nemec2.753770R. Zeman1.401111113LSep 13 · 11:50P. Cibik1.531111123R. Zeman2.3857100WSep 13 · 10:50R. Zeman1.731511123Z. Dusek2.00138100WSep 12 · 18:00R. Zeman1.131211113M. Kolbusovsky5.5010370WSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 12 · 15:55R. Zeman1.835580O. Hula1.831111113LSep 12 · 14:55R. Zeman2.3859111152P. Cibik1.53111188113
J. Mach10
WSep 15 · 20:20M. Nemec2.63101171172J. Mach1.44129119113WSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190WAug 23 · 16:50J. Mach2.251112911113Z. Dusek1.5731411862WAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman2.5010270J. Mach1.501211113LAug 23 · 14:50M. Nemec2.50131111113J. Mach1.47156681
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