TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134396
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Mach
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131161311––––
Marek Dlask
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Mach to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mach above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 55 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Mach at 62.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mach 14–11 Marek Dlask Marek Dlask has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Mach
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mach 1540 vs Dlask 1490
Mach
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mach 80% vs Dlask 60%
Mach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mach 80% vs Dlask 50%
Mach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mach +3 · Dlask +1
Mach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMach 1.57 / Dlask 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Mach)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13134396
Mach1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 43 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Dlask2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 26 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back34% 11 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMach4wins
AwayDlask6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDlask leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMach42.9%3 of 7
AwayDlask66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mach7Dlask3n = 10Mach took 7 of 10
S2Mach8Dlask2n = 10Mach took 8 of 10
S3Mach3Dlask7n = 10Dlask took 7 of 10
S4Mach2Dlask6n = 8Dlask took 6 of 8
S5Mach1Dlask4n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachDlaskM − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.9+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 426 vs 146 / 30348.6%48.2%207 / 426 vs 146 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachMach 1.57/Dlask 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Mach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach521111811113M. Dlask4699111342
LAug 18 · 19:20J. Mach50131171182M. Dlask541181113113
WJul 22 · 22:03J. Mach4211119113M. Dlask25361151
LJul 22 · 18:20J. Mach321111551M. Dlask4213711113
LJul 14 · 19:20J. Mach4213111982M. Dlask491151111113
LJun 24 · 22:35J. Mach45121166102M. Dlask531091111123
WJun 24 · 18:55J. Mach331111113M. Dlask163850
LJun 11 · 19:20J. Mach4111912452M. Dlask485111011113
LJun 2 · 20:20J. Mach2510690M. Dlask341211113
WMay 21 · 18:55J. Mach4381111133M. Dlask321137111
J. Mach10
WSep 15 · 20:20M. Nemec2.63101171172J. Mach1.44129119113LSep 15 · 19:50R. Zeman3.00811128113J. Mach1.36119101192WAug 25 · 21:55M. Nemec1.7054120J. Mach1.961111143WAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342WAug 25 · 19:20J. Mach1.5041111113R. Zeman2.50119891LAug 25 · 18:20J. Mach1.5011101191M. Nemec2.5091213113WAug 23 · 17:59J. Mach1.731113113M. Nemec2.0011190WAug 23 · 16:50J. Mach2.251112911113Z. Dusek1.5731411862WAug 23 · 15:18R. Zeman2.5010270J. Mach1.501211113LAug 23 · 14:50M. Nemec2.50131111113J. Mach1.47156681
M. Dlask10
LSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113LSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390WSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080LSep 10 · 20:20M. Dlask1.579151381J. Rolik2.25111315113WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask1.67121169113M. Nemec2.10109111152LAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113WAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 25 · 20:20J. Mach1.571111811113M. Dlask2.2599111342
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