TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145245
Played Sep 17Finished
Marek Dlask
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118112116––––
Michal Kolbusovsky
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Dlask to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Michal Kolbusovsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Marek Dlask at 67.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Marek Dlask 5–1 Michal Kolbusovsky Michal Kolbusovsky has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dlask
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Dlask
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dlask 1424 vs Kolbusovsky 1271
Dlask
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dlask 20% vs Kolbusovsky 0%
Dlask
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dlask 40% vs Kolbusovsky 20%
Dlask
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dlask +1 · Kolbusovsky -5
Kolbusovsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dlask) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbusovsky form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDlask 1.50 / Kolbusovsky 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Dlask)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13145245
Dlask1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 33 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Kolbusovsky2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDlask5wins
AwayKolbusovsky1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderDlask leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDlask75%3 of 4
AwayKolbusovskyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dlask4Kolbusovsky2n = 6Dlask took 4 of 6
S2Dlask4Kolbusovsky2n = 6Dlask took 4 of 6
S3Dlask3Kolbusovsky3n = 6split evenly
S4Dlask4Kolbusovsky1n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
S5Dlask2Kolbusovsky1n = 3Dlask took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricDlaskKolbusovskyD − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.538.3+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDlaskKolbusovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 305 vs 209 / 45447.2%46%144 / 305 vs 209 / 454Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskDlask 1.50/Kolbusovsky 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dlask won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 17 · 19:50M. Dlask331111113M. Kolbusovsky168260
LJul 9 · 18:20M. Dlask4311761182M. Kolbusovsky49711119113
WJun 24 · 20:55M. Dlask4111811113M. Kolbusovsky33911941
WFeb 16 · 22:30M. Dlask4391111123M. Kolbusovsky331175101
WFeb 16 · 20:20M. Dlask47151137113M. Kolbusovsky50139111162
WFeb 3 · 20:20M. Dlask42511411113M. Kolbusovsky4911911992
M. Dlask10
LSep 17 · 20:50M. Nemec2.6313177143M. Dlask1.44111511121WSep 17 · 18:20O. Sebek2.106770M. Dlask1.671111113LSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec2.0011101311113M. Dlask1.7371215652LSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113LSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390LSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110WSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080LSep 10 · 20:20M. Dlask1.579151381J. Rolik2.25111315113WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask1.67121169113M. Nemec2.10109111152
M. Kolbusovsky10
LSep 17 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.25411341M. Nemec1.5711911113LSep 12 · 18:00R. Zeman1.131211113M. Kolbusovsky5.5010370LSep 12 · 16:55R. Zeman1.251111113M. Kolbusovsky3.754660LSep 12 · 16:25P. Cibik1.5011111112123M. Kolbusovsky2.50136114102LSep 12 · 15:25M. Kolbusovsky2.509870O. Hula1.501111113LSep 11 · 21:55P. Cibik1.2511811113M. Kolbusovsky3.35611981LSep 11 · 20:50M. Kolbusovsky2.6311116852P. Cibik1.44591111113WSep 11 · 19:20J. Rolik1.441181171M. Kolbusovsky2.6371113113WSep 11 · 18:50M. Nemec1.61812611102M. Kolbusovsky2.201110114123LSep 10 · 13:19M. Kolbusovsky1.911211913122O. Sebek1.801461111143
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