Marian Brunner vs Grzegorz Mucha 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145052

Played Sep 17Finished

Marian Brunner

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

5111012711––––

Grzegorz Mucha

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Grzegorz Mucha to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMarian Brunner above · Grzegorz Mucha below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 54.0%

56 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:32

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Mucha

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Brunner 1299 vs Mucha 1379

Mucha

Correct

both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Brunner 60% vs Mucha 40%

Brunner

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Brunner 30% vs Mucha 60%

Mucha

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Brunner -2 · Mucha +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Mucha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mucha form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrunner 2.25 / Mucha 1.57

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Mucha)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13145052

Brunner2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog33% won 47 of 144

Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 86

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52

Mucha1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite63% won 88 of 139

Up 2–0, closes it100% 44 of 44

Up 1–0, closes it77% 59 of 77

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrunnerMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 573 vs 143 / 28449.6%50.4%284 / 573 vs 143 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mucha

Brunner 2.25/Mucha 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.7%

Mucha · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Mucha won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Brunner10