TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125352
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115119––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:18 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 67.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 12–2 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-2 in 14
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1398 vs Mucha 1357
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Mucha 60%
Mucha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 60% vs Mucha 40%
Lewczuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +1 · Mucha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.50 / Mucha 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Lewczuk)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13125352
Lewczuk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 167 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it83% 126 of 151
Mucha2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk8wins
AwayMucha2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%4 of 4
AwayMucha33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk4Mucha6n = 10Mucha took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk7Mucha3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S3Lewczuk7Mucha3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Lewczuk7Mucha1n = 8Lewczuk took 7 of 8
S5Lewczuk3Mucha2n = 5Lewczuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukMuchaL − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.137.9+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 958 vs 137 / 27451.5%50%493 / 958 vs 137 / 274Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.50/Mucha 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk517111111112G. Mucha49117135133
WSep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk4611711173G. Mucha375116151
LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk44101111752G. Mucha46128411113
WSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk48841111143G. Mucha45111174122
WAug 17 · 23:10M. Lewczuk494131011113G. Mucha46111112932
WAug 17 · 17:20M. Lewczuk341211113G. Mucha2310850
WAug 16 · 02:35M. Lewczuk331111113G. Mucha218670
WAug 15 · 18:10M. Lewczuk481141011123G. Mucha47811126102
WAug 8 · 23:20M. Lewczuk43101111113G. Mucha31126851
WAug 8 · 17:20M. Lewczuk4581111153G. Mucha341155131
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 14 · 16:15K. Gudzik2.501271181M. Lewczuk1.5014115113LSep 14 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.918580J. Zelezik1.801111113WSep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.38911911113M. Guzik1.5311811962LSep 14 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.07123981K. Rybak7.50101111113LSep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.537111111112G. Mucha2.38117135133WSep 13 · 22:10M. Karpiuk3.251511103112M. Lewczuk1.331391211133LSep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.731112951A. Kubiak2.00131011113WSep 13 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.36111112113M. Karpiuk3.00651471WSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.061212183K. Rybak8.001010160WSep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.5011711173G. Mucha2.505116151
G. Mucha10
LSep 14 · 16:35M. Karpiuk2.20101111123G. Mucha1.611297101LSep 14 · 15:00K. Gudzik1.8311117113G. Mucha1.83531191WSep 14 · 02:10K. Rybak4.501110851G. Mucha1.1771211113WSep 14 · 01:25A. Kubiak2.101460G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.537111111112G. Mucha2.38117135133LSep 13 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336460LSep 13 · 21:00M. Karpiuk2.38811114113G. Mucha1.5311641192WSep 13 · 20:05K. Rybak5.0012111071G. Mucha1.14101312113LSep 13 · 19:20A. Kubiak2.0011812113G. Mucha1.739111091LSep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.5011711173G. Mucha2.505116151
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