Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145736

Starts 10:35 PMScheduled

Michal Guzik

Home

1.22

At publish

Won last 3

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Head to head

8 – 1

All 9 meetings · 88.9%

Last 9 · 8–1Same side

Grzegorz Mucha

Away

4.00

At publish

Won last 2

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Michal Guzik arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Guzik beat Mucha 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGuzik 1.22 / Mucha 4.00

TT Elite Series · #13145736

Guzik1.22

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite73% won 127 of 173

Up 2–0, closes it97% 74 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it89% 93 of 105

Mucha4.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 45 of 123

Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 66

Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeGuzik8wins

AwayMucha1wins

1 of 9 to a deciderGuzik leads 8–1, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeGuzik100%7 of 7

AwayMuchan = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Guzik7Mucha2n = 9Guzik took 7 of 9

S2Guzik8Mucha1n = 9Guzik took 8 of 9

S3Guzik8Mucha1n = 9Guzik took 8 of 9

S4Guzik3Mucha0n = 3Guzik took 3 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home667%

3–1Four sets, home222%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricGuzikMuchaG − MBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match36.124.4+11.7per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGuzikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 193 vs 144 / 28572%50.5%139 / 193 vs 144 / 285Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

WSep 17 · 15:00M. Guzik4011117113G. Mucha32671181

WSep 13 · 22:35M. Guzik331111113G. Mucha166460

WSep 13 · 15:00M. Guzik331111113G. Mucha216780

WSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik331111113G. Mucha166730

WSep 6 · 15:00M. Guzik331111113G. Mucha152580

WAug 17 · 22:30M. Guzik351113113G. Mucha2061130

WAug 17 · 15:00M. Guzik4061111123G. Mucha341167101

LAug 2 · 22:35M. Guzik45115111172G. Mucha46131183113

WAug 2 · 15:00M. Guzik331111113G. Mucha206860

M. Guzik10

WSep 17 · 17:45M. Guzik1.221111113Z. Nocun4.005720 WSep 17 · 16:15M. Guzik1.171111113M. Brunner4.505240 WSep 17 · 15:00M. Guzik1.2011117113G. Mucha4.33671181 LSep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.38911911113M. Guzik1.5311811962 LSep 14 · 01:00M. Karpiuk3.50141475113M. Guzik1.281212111172 WSep 14 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2561111113A. Kubiak3.75118831 WSep 13 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336460 WSep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak7.5011181192M. Guzik1.07118118113 WSep 13 · 20:30M. Guzik1.441311113A. Kubiak2.6311880 WSep 13 · 18:55M. Guzik1.40111112113M. Karpiuk2.75731451

G. Mucha10

WSep 17 · 17:20M. Brunner2.2551070G. Mucha1.571112113 WSep 17 · 16:35M. Baran1.831471012132G. Mucha1.8312111210153 LSep 17 · 15:00M. Guzik1.2011117113G. Mucha4.33671181 LSep 15 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.501111163G. Mucha2.5046140 LSep 15 · 24:50J. Zelezik1.83131116153G. Mucha1.8315714131 WSep 14 · 23:10M. Lewczuk1.50119941G. Mucha2.5061111113 WSep 14 · 22:30K. Gudzik1.801011791G. Mucha1.9112611113 WSep 14 · 21:00M. Karpiuk2.38113671G. Mucha1.5391111113 WSep 14 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.4011116892G. Mucha2.75831111113 LSep 13 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336460

Upcoming Matches

M. Guzik

Sep 17 · 18:55M. Guzik1.25M. Baran3.75—Sep 17 · 20:30M. Guzik1.28K. Gudzik3.50—Sep 17 · 21:45M. Guzik1.22Z. Nocun4.00—Sep 18 · 24:10M. Guzik1.39K. Gudzik2.65—Sep 18 · 01:00M. Guzik1.25M. Baran3.75—Sep 18 · 01:45M. Guzik1.17M. Brunner4.50—

G. Mucha

Sep 17 · 19:20G. Mucha1.80K. Gudzik1.91—Sep 17 · 20:05G. Mucha2.38Z. Nocun1.53—Sep 17 · 21:00G. Mucha1.83M. Baran1.83—Sep 17 · 23:20G. Mucha1.53M. Brunner2.38—Sep 18 · 01:25G. Mucha1.83K. Gudzik1.83—Sep 18 · 02:10G. Mucha2.38Z. Nocun1.53—

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