Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145847

Starts 09:45 PMScheduled

Zbigniew Nocun

Home

4.00

At publish

Lost last 1

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

0 – 13

All 13 meetings · 0.0%

Last 10 · 0–10Same side

Michal Guzik

Away

1.22

At publish

Won last 3

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Michal Guzik arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Guzik beat Nocun 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNocun 4.00 / Guzik 1.22

TT Elite Series · #13145847

Nocun4.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog40% won 71 of 179

Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 99

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53

Guzik1.22

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite73% won 127 of 173

Up 2–0, closes it97% 74 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it89% 93 of 105

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeNocun0wins

AwayGuzik10wins

Guzik leads 10–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeNocunn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayGuzik100%9 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Nocun1Guzik9n = 10Guzik took 9 of 10

S2Nocun0Guzik10n = 10Guzik took 10 of 10

S3Nocun1Guzik9n = 10Guzik took 9 of 10

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away880%

These 10 meetings

MetricNocunGuzikN − GBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match19.434.8−15.4per matchSweeps08−83–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricNocunGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime676 / 1130 vs 139 / 19359.8%72%676 / 1130 vs 139 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 17 · 17:45Z. Nocun145720M. Guzik331111113

LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun2998120M. Guzik361111143

LSep 6 · 17:45Z. Nocun147340M. Guzik331111113

LAug 28 · 24:35Z. Nocun28651251M. Guzik43111110113

LAug 27 · 18:30Z. Nocun187830M. Guzik331111113

LAug 21 · 01:25Z. Nocun29117561M. Guzik3851111113

LAug 20 · 19:20Z. Nocun137510M. Guzik331111113

LAug 6 · 23:50Z. Nocun158520M. Guzik331111113

LAug 6 · 20:30Z. Nocun155370M. Guzik331111113

LAug 3 · 02:10Z. Nocun193970M. Guzik331111113

Z. Nocun10

WSep 17 · 18:30M. Brunner2.637740Z. Nocun1.441111113 LSep 17 · 17:45M. Guzik1.221111113Z. Nocun4.005720 WSep 17 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.731111614113K. Gudzik2.0035111682 LSep 17 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.531171161M. Baran2.3881113113 WSep 17 · 04:40Z. Nocun1.12811611113K. Rybak4.8511711962 LSep 17 · 03:05W. Stechly5.051011711113Z. Nocun1.1112111772 LSep 17 · 02:20A. Krezel2.60981111113Z. Nocun1.4011114642 WSep 17 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.3711911153A. Staniczek2.758119131 WSep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.8911911113M. Warzecha1.82511971 WSep 16 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.1271111123K. Rybak4.851149101

M. Guzik10

WSep 17 · 17:45M. Guzik1.221111113Z. Nocun4.005720 WSep 17 · 16:15M. Guzik1.171111113M. Brunner4.505240 WSep 17 · 15:00M. Guzik1.2011117113G. Mucha4.33671181 LSep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.38911911113M. Guzik1.5311811962 LSep 14 · 01:00M. Karpiuk3.50141475113M. Guzik1.281212111172 WSep 14 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2561111113A. Kubiak3.75118831 WSep 13 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336460 WSep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak7.5011181192M. Guzik1.07118118113 WSep 13 · 20:30M. Guzik1.441311113A. Kubiak2.6311880 WSep 13 · 18:55M. Guzik1.40111112113M. Karpiuk2.75731451

Upcoming Matches

Z. Nocun

Sep 17 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.53G. Mucha2.38—Sep 17 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.73K. Gudzik2.00—Sep 17 · 23:45Z. Nocun1.53M. Baran2.38—Sep 18 · 24:35Z. Nocun1.44M. Brunner2.63—Sep 18 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.53G. Mucha2.38—

M. Guzik

Sep 17 · 18:55M. Guzik1.25M. Baran3.75—Sep 17 · 20:30M. Guzik1.28K. Gudzik3.50—Sep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.22G. Mucha4.00—Sep 18 · 24:10M. Guzik1.39K. Gudzik2.65—Sep 18 · 01:00M. Guzik1.25M. Baran3.75—Sep 18 · 01:45M. Guzik1.17M. Brunner4.50—

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