TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142782
Played Sep 17Finished
Viktor Leonov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113114116116––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 58.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 1–1 Vitalii Sydorenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Leonov 1397 vs Sydorenko 1280
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonov 80% vs Sydorenko 20%
Leonov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonov 80% vs Sydorenko 30%
Leonov
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonov -1 · Sydorenko -4
Sydorenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Leonov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 1.73 / Sydorenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Leonov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142782
Leonov1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 42 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Sydorenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 83 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLeonov1wins
AwaySydorenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLeonovSydorenkoL − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.539.50.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 136 vs 258 / 58261.8%44.3%84 / 136 vs 258 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovLeonov 1.73/Sydorenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 13 · 15:55V. Leonov34511991V. Sydorenko4211911113
WFeb 20 · 18:05V. Leonov4512148113V. Sydorenko3710121141
V. Leonov10
LSep 17 · 15:05V. Leonov2.255930Y. Bielokon1.571111113LSep 16 · 19:05H. Buianover4.5011119113V. Leonov1.17961191WSep 16 · 18:05M. Karelov3.406960V. Leonov1.301111113WSep 16 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.73712111272V. Leonov2.001114110113WSep 16 · 14:35V. Reva3.509330V. Leonov1.281111113WSep 16 · 12:35A. Sydorenko2.631110861V. Leonov1.4441211113WSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 17 · 14:05A. Azarov1.61119591V. Sydorenko2.2081111113LSep 14 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.281111133V. Sydorenko3.5087110LSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372LSep 14 · 16:35I. Elfemov1.5011511113V. Sydorenko2.50711691LSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 12:35O. Korobov1.251110711112V. Sydorenko3.75912114133WSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123LSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113LSep 11 · 13:05Y. Bielokon1.831311123V. Sydorenko1.83115100
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