TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13137013
Played Sep 16Finished
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1141012811611––
Viktor Leonov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Viktor Leonov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 61.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 9–20 Viktor Leonov Andrii Sydorenko 1979 has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-20 in 29
Leonov
Correct
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1375 vs Leonov 1398
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Leonov 80%
Leonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 70% vs Leonov 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -1 · Leonov +4
Leonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Leonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.63 / Leonov 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Leonov)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13137013
Sydorenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 10 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Leonov1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 39 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko4wins
AwayLeonov6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko50%2 of 4
AwayLeonov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko4Leonov6n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko4Leonov6n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko5Leonov5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorenko4Leonov5n = 9Leonov took 5 of 9
S5Sydorenko2Leonov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoLeonovS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.642.8−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoLeonovBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 319 vs 80 / 13165.2%61.1%208 / 319 vs 80 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovSydorenko 2.63/Leonov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 18:35A. Sydorenko2211560V. Leonov351311113
WSep 2 · 13:05A. Sydorenko3911512113V. Leonov305111041
WAug 19 · 16:35A. Sydorenko48911116113V. Leonov4311951172
LAug 5 · 16:35A. Sydorenko34127871V. Leonov43101111113
LJul 23 · 18:35A. Sydorenko4281113372V. Leonov531191111113
LJul 14 · 18:35A. Sydorenko22151151V. Leonov4111118113
LJul 7 · 17:35A. Sydorenko26113661V. Leonov4291111113
WJun 14 · 16:25A. Sydorenko45131011113V. Leonov381112691
LApr 26 · 17:55A. Sydorenko4471421382V. Leonov5611121111113
WApr 5 · 12:35A. Sydorenko44611511113V. Leonov4711711992
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192WSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113
V. Leonov10
WSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113
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