TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061538
Played Sep 2Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9114111131012––
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:43 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Andrii Sydorenko 1979 below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 71 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 81.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 14–67 Andrii Sydorenko 1979 Hennadii Buianover has won 14 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-67 in 81
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 53 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1239 vs Sydorenko 1410
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 60% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 60% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover -1 · Sydorenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 3.75 / Sydorenko 1.25
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Sydorenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13061538
Buianover3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 43 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Sydorenko1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 97 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover2wins
AwaySydorenko8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianover50%2 of 4
AwaySydorenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Buianover2Sydorenko8n = 10Sydorenko took 8 of 10
S3Buianover7Sydorenko3n = 10Buianover took 7 of 10
S4Buianover3Sydorenko6n = 9Sydorenko took 6 of 9
S5Buianover1Sydorenko4n = 5Sydorenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverSydorenkoB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.743.4−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 373 vs 205 / 31439.4%65.3%147 / 373 vs 205 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoBuianover 3.75/Sydorenko 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover—9411101A. Sydorenko—11113123
WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover—11711113A. Sydorenko—211661
LAug 27 · 17:05H. Buianover—101111892A. Sydorenko—129311113
LAug 12 · 13:35H. Buianover—7101141A. Sydorenko—11129113
LAug 9 · 17:35H. Buianover—9111061A. Sydorenko—11812113
LAug 5 · 17:35H. Buianover—10980A. Sydorenko—1211113
LJul 28 · 18:35H. Buianover—1010111152A. Sydorenko—121297113
WJul 27 · 12:35H. Buianover—1812118113A. Sydorenko—161481172
LJul 23 · 17:35H. Buianover—13311662A. Sydorenko—1111811113
LJul 16 · 17:35H. Buianover—11761182A. Sydorenko—611119113
H. Buianover10
WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113LSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 13:05M. Karelov2.2511116113H. Buianover1.57751161
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
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