TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13063870
Played Sep 2Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711811––––
Valerii Lukianevych
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:26 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Valerii Lukianevych below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 60.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 37–76 Valerii Lukianevych Hennadii Buianover has won 37 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:26What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lukianevych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-76 in 113
Lukianevych
Correct
gap of 39 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1260 vs Lukianevych 1283
Lukianevych
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 60% vs Lukianevych 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 70% vs Lukianevych 40%
Buianover
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover +3 · Lukianevych +2
Buianover
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lukianevych) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 2.63 / Lukianevych 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lukianevych)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13063870
Buianover2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 43 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Lukianevych1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 73 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover3wins
AwayLukianevych7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLukianevych leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianover66.7%2 of 3
AwayLukianevych85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover3Lukianevych7n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S2Buianover4Lukianevych6n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S3Buianover5Lukianevych5n = 10split evenly
S4Buianover2Lukianevych4n = 6Lukianevych took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverLukianevychB − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.636.5−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverLukianevychBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 373 vs 198 / 39640%50%149 / 373 vs 198 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychBuianover 2.63/Lukianevych 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lukianevych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:05H. Buianover—8980V. Lukianevych—1111113
WAug 30 · 17:55H. Buianover—11118113V. Lukianevych—761181
LAug 27 · 15:05H. Buianover—6860V. Lukianevych—1111113
WAug 12 · 16:05H. Buianover—61111113V. Lukianevych—119691
LAug 10 · 15:35H. Buianover—116691V. Lukianevych—81111113
LAug 5 · 15:35H. Buianover—108100V. Lukianevych—1211123
LJul 28 · 12:35H. Buianover—1051381V. Lukianevych—121111113
LJul 27 · 18:05H. Buianover—61111762V. Lukianevych—115911113
LJul 23 · 14:35H. Buianover—761351V. Lukianevych—111111113
WJul 16 · 19:35H. Buianover—1111113V. Lukianevych—7490
H. Buianover10
WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113LSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 13:05M. Karelov2.2511116113H. Buianover1.57751161
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
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