TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055510
Played Sep 1Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121210711911––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vadim Reva at 59.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 44–58 Hennadii Buianover Vadim Reva has won 44 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Reva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-58 in 102
Buianover
Correct
gap of 14 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1314 vs Buianover 1260
Reva
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 60% vs Buianover 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 50% vs Buianover 70%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva -1 · Buianover +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Reva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.57 / Buianover 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Reva)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055510
Reva1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 66 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Buianover2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva6wins
AwayBuianover4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva100%4 of 4
AwayBuianover66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva4Buianover6n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10
S2Reva6Buianover4n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S3Reva5Buianover5n = 10split evenly
S4Reva5Buianover3n = 8Reva took 5 of 8
S5Reva2Buianover1n = 3Reva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaBuianoverR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.0−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 375 vs 149 / 37356%40%210 / 375 vs 149 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaReva 1.57/Buianover 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva—1012791H. Buianover—121011113
LAug 30 · 16:55V. Reva—2750H. Buianover—1111113
WAug 27 · 13:35V. Reva—1171110123H. Buianover—411812102
WAug 12 · 18:05V. Reva—11118113H. Buianover—991151
LAug 12 · 14:35V. Reva—51191152H. Buianover—115117113
WAug 10 · 19:35V. Reva—1313113H. Buianover—111170
WAug 9 · 13:05V. Reva—11311113H. Buianover—911661
LAug 5 · 13:35V. Reva—711691H. Buianover—11911113
WJul 28 · 17:05V. Reva—71111113H. Buianover—114871
WJul 27 · 14:35V. Reva—3121111113H. Buianover—11144892
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113
H. Buianover10
WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113LSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 13:05M. Karelov2.2511116113H. Buianover1.57751161
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