TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100673
Played Sep 9Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012511––––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vadim Reva at 56.2%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 45–58 Hennadii Buianover Vadim Reva has won 45 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Reva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-58 in 103
Buianover
Correct
gap of 13 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1301 vs Buianover 1226
Reva
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 40% vs Buianover 20%
Reva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 40% vs Buianover 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva -1 · Buianover -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Reva) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.57 / Buianover 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Reva)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100673
Reva1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 67 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Buianover2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 43 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva6wins
AwayBuianover4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva100%5 of 5
AwayBuianover80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva5Buianover5n = 10split evenly
S2Reva7Buianover3n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S3Reva5Buianover5n = 10split evenly
S4Reva4Buianover3n = 7Reva took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaBuianoverR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.7+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 375 vs 147 / 37355.7%39.4%209 / 375 vs 147 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaReva 1.57/Buianover 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 17:05V. Reva—1111113H. Buianover—2650
LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva—1012791H. Buianover—121011113
LAug 30 · 16:55V. Reva—2750H. Buianover—1111113
WAug 27 · 13:35V. Reva—1171110123H. Buianover—411812102
WAug 12 · 18:05V. Reva—11118113H. Buianover—991151
LAug 12 · 14:35V. Reva—51191152H. Buianover—115117113
WAug 10 · 19:35V. Reva—1313113H. Buianover—111170
WAug 9 · 13:05V. Reva—11311113H. Buianover—911661
LAug 5 · 13:35V. Reva—711691H. Buianover—11911113
WJul 28 · 17:05V. Reva—71111113H. Buianover—114871
V. Reva10
LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113
H. Buianover10
LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113LSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 13:05M. Karelov2.2511116113H. Buianover1.57751161
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