TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055114
Played Sep 1Finished
Iurii Chernyshov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211711711––––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeHennadii Buianover to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Chernyshov above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Hennadii Buianover at 64.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Chernyshov 0–1 Hennadii Buianover Iurii Chernyshov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Buianover
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chernyshov 1072 vs Buianover 1218
Buianover
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chernyshov 40% vs Buianover 60%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chernyshov 20% vs Buianover 60%
Buianover
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chernyshov +1 · Buianover -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Buianover)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChernyshov 2.63 / Buianover 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Buianover)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055114
Chernyshov2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Buianover1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 28 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChernyshov0wins
AwayBuianover1wins
Buianover leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChernyshovBuianoverC − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match32.043.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChernyshovBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 11 vs 146 / 37018.2%39.5%2 / 11 vs 146 / 370Avg sets wonper match1.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverChernyshov 2.63/Buianover 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 27 · 19:05I. Chernyshov—126771H. Buianover—101111113
I. Chernyshov10
LSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100WSep 1 · 15:05M. Karelov1.611210116132I. Chernyshov2.201012411153LSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113LAug 27 · 19:05H. Buianover1.73101111113I. Chernyshov2.00126771WAug 27 · 18:05M. Karelov1.44111091182I. Chernyshov2.63612117113LAug 27 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.611711123I. Chernyshov2.20158100LAug 27 · 14:35V. Reva1.501111113I. Chernyshov2.505880LAug 27 · 12:35A. Sydorenko1.3691111143I. Chernyshov3.001197121LAug 19 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.008240V. Leonov1.361111113
H. Buianover10
WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661LSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980WAug 27 · 19:05H. Buianover1.73101111113I. Chernyshov2.00126771
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