TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023232
Played Aug 27Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
17151181210––––
Iurii Chernyshov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
0–6Last 6Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Iurii Chernyshov below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 73 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 57.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 1–0 Iurii Chernyshov Iurii Chernyshov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lukianevych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1324 vs Chernyshov 900
Lukianevych
Correct
both rated, 424 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 60% vs Chernyshov 0%
Lukianevych
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 50% vs Chernyshov 0%
Lukianevych
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych +2 · Chernyshov -5
Chernyshov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lukianevych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chernyshov form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.61 / Chernyshov 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Lukianevych)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023232
Lukianevych1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 66 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Chernyshov2.20
0%won 0 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 3 of 6
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLukianevych1wins
AwayChernyshov0wins
Lukianevych leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLukianevychChernyshovL − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.032.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychChernyshovBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 388 vs 0 / 649.7%0%193 / 388 vs 0 / 6Avg sets wonper match2.00.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.531.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.61/Chernyshov 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lukianevych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 19 · 17:04V. Lukianevych—81111113I. Chernyshov—118761
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980
I. Chernyshov10
LSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113WSep 1 · 15:05M. Karelov1.611210116132I. Chernyshov2.201012411153LSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113LAug 27 · 19:05H. Buianover1.73101111113I. Chernyshov2.00126771WAug 27 · 18:05M. Karelov1.44111091182I. Chernyshov2.63612117113LAug 27 · 14:35V. Reva1.501111113I. Chernyshov2.505880LAug 27 · 12:35A. Sydorenko1.3691111143I. Chernyshov3.001197121LAug 19 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.008240V. Leonov1.361111113
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