TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055400
Played Sep 1Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1111159119111113
Vadim Reva
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 92 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Vadim Reva at 54.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 58–46 Vadim Reva Vadim Reva has won 46 of their 104 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-46 in 104
Lukianevych
Wrong
gap of 12 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1277 vs Reva 1343
Reva
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 20% vs Reva 40%
Reva
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 40% vs Reva 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych +1 · Reva -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 2.00 / Reva 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Reva)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055400
Lukianevych2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Reva1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 66 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych4wins
AwayReva6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych100%3 of 3
AwayReva85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych3Reva7n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S2Lukianevych4Reva6n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S3Lukianevych7Reva3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S4Lukianevych2Reva8n = 10Reva took 8 of 10
S5Lukianevych3Reva1n = 4Lukianevych took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychRevaL − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.343.1−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 393 vs 209 / 37249.9%56.2%196 / 393 vs 209 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaLukianevych 2.00/Reva 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 14:55V. Lukianevych—1241181V. Reva—14116113
WAug 27 · 17:35V. Lukianevych—14119113V. Reva—1271181
LAug 19 · 15:35V. Lukianevych—811111052V. Reva—117912113
LAug 12 · 13:05V. Lukianevych—612771V. Reva—111011113
LAug 10 · 14:05V. Lukianevych—881391V. Reva—111111113
LAug 5 · 17:05V. Lukianevych—771181V. Reva—11116113
WJul 28 · 19:05V. Lukianevych—911118113V. Reva—11971162
WJul 27 · 19:35V. Lukianevych—118115113V. Reva—51161162
LJul 16 · 16:05V. Lukianevych—5111141V. Reva—11139113
WJul 14 · 13:35V. Lukianevych—117611133V. Reva—711118112
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113
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