TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055193
Played Sep 1Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119711116411
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Andrii Sydorenko 1979 below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 68.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 26–61 Andrii Sydorenko 1979 Valerii Lukianevych has won 26 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-61 in 87
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 35 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1272 vs Sydorenko 1383
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 20% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 50% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -4 · Sydorenko +2
Lukianevych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 2.63 / Sydorenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Sydorenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055193
Lukianevych2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Sydorenko1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 93 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych4wins
AwaySydorenko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych25%1 of 4
AwaySydorenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Lukianevych6Sydorenko4n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S3Lukianevych6Sydorenko4n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S4Lukianevych3Sydorenko6n = 9Sydorenko took 6 of 9
S5Lukianevych2Sydorenko3n = 5Sydorenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychSydorenkoL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.542.6−4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 391 vs 199 / 30949.9%64.4%195 / 391 vs 199 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoLukianevych 2.63/Sydorenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 18:35V. Lukianevych—12116582A. Sydorenko—1081111113
LAug 19 · 18:35V. Lukianevych—761191A. Sydorenko—11119113
LAug 12 · 15:05V. Lukianevych—11128342A. Sydorenko—6101111113
WAug 5 · 18:35V. Lukianevych—214136113A. Sydorenko—1112111132
LJul 28 · 16:35V. Lukianevych—6115101A. Sydorenko—11911123
LJul 27 · 14:05V. Lukianevych—11591162A. Sydorenko—611118113
WJul 23 · 16:35V. Lukianevych—71111113A. Sydorenko—119881
LJul 16 · 13:05V. Lukianevych—971261A. Sydorenko—111110113
WJul 14 · 15:35V. Lukianevych—1111113A. Sydorenko—6860
WJul 7 · 15:35V. Lukianevych—571111113A. Sydorenko—11117992
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113
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