TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101172
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511311711––
Maksym Karelov
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Maksym Karelov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 65 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 81.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 14–3 Maksym Karelov Maksym Karelov has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Sydorenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Sydorenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1407 vs Karelov 1139
Sydorenko
Wrong
both rated, 269 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 80% vs Karelov 20%
Sydorenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 80% vs Karelov 30%
Sydorenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +2 · Karelov -4
Karelov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.22 / Karelov 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Sydorenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13101172
Sydorenko1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it82% 65 of 79
Karelov4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko9wins
AwayKarelov1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko100%6 of 6
AwayKarelov25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko6Karelov4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko8Karelov2n = 10Sydorenko took 8 of 10
S3Sydorenko6Karelov4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko4Karelov3n = 7Sydorenko took 4 of 7
S5Sydorenko4Karelov0n = 4Sydorenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoKarelovS − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.1+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoKarelovBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 314 vs 35 / 9865.3%35.7%205 / 314 vs 35 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.22/Karelov 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Karelov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 19:35A. Sydorenko—1111129113M. Karelov—48141122
WSep 1 · 16:35A. Sydorenko—1311113M. Karelov—11740
WAug 27 · 14:05A. Sydorenko—1111113M. Karelov—8960
WAug 19 · 13:05A. Sydorenko—61111113M. Karelov—117631
WAug 12 · 17:33A. Sydorenko—1281211113M. Karelov—141110962
WAug 12 · 12:35A. Sydorenko—671111113M. Karelov—11118962
WAug 9 · 13:35A. Sydorenko—11122113M. Karelov—9101141
WAug 5 · 13:05A. Sydorenko—111138113M. Karelov—89111162
WJul 28 · 17:35A. Sydorenko—1111143M. Karelov—86120
LJul 27 · 17:05A. Sydorenko—811481M. Karelov—11711113
A. Sydorenko10
WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
M. Karelov10
LSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113LSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560LSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113LSep 1 · 15:05M. Karelov1.611210116132I. Chernyshov2.201012411153WSep 1 · 13:05M. Karelov2.2511116113H. Buianover1.57751161
Upcoming Matches
A. Sydorenko
M. Karelov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.