TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055242
Played Sep 1Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412511711311––
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Andrii Sydorenko 1979 below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 74 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 57.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 24–52 Andrii Sydorenko 1979 Vadim Reva has won 24 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-52 in 76
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1350 vs Sydorenko 1390
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 40% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 60% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva +1 · Sydorenko +3
Sydorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sydorenko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 2.00 / Sydorenko 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sydorenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055242
Reva2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 44 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back36% 17 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Sydorenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 93 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva8wins
AwaySydorenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva83.3%5 of 6
AwaySydorenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva6Sydorenko4n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S2Reva6Sydorenko4n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S3Reva7Sydorenko3n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S4Reva4Sydorenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Reva4Sydorenko1n = 5Reva took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaSydorenkoR − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.036.0+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 370 vs 200 / 31056.2%64.5%208 / 370 vs 200 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoReva 2.00/Sydorenko 1.73
Hit
What we said
55.7%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 15:35V. Reva—11411113A. Sydorenko—911691
WAug 19 · 17:35V. Reva—411119113A. Sydorenko—11671162
WAug 12 · 16:35V. Reva—1111113A. Sydorenko—8870
WAug 9 · 19:35V. Reva—1211113A. Sydorenko—10680
LAug 5 · 15:05V. Reva—1171011102A. Sydorenko—611125123
WJul 28 · 15:05V. Reva—1111211113A. Sydorenko—73111382
LJul 27 · 15:35V. Reva—371181A. Sydorenko—11116113
WJul 16 · 15:05V. Reva—118115113A. Sydorenko—81181122
WJul 14 · 17:05V. Reva—711911113A. Sydorenko—11911272
WJul 7 · 13:35V. Reva—81111113A. Sydorenko—117661
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113WSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
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