TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13063692
Played Sep 2Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181171214911811
Valerii Lukianevych
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Valerii Lukianevych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 102 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vadim Reva at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 47–58 Valerii Lukianevych Vadim Reva has won 47 of their 105 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:13What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-58 in 105
Lukianevych
Correct
gap of 11 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1301 vs Lukianevych 1313
Lukianevych
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 40% vs Lukianevych 80%
Lukianevych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 50% vs Lukianevych 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva +2 · Lukianevych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukianevych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.73 / Lukianevych 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reva)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13063692
Reva1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 68 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Lukianevych2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 36 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva7wins
AwayLukianevych3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva85.7%6 of 7
AwayLukianevych66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva7Lukianevych3n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S2Reva5Lukianevych5n = 10split evenly
S3Reva3Lukianevych7n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S4Reva9Lukianevych1n = 10Reva took 9 of 10
S5Reva2Lukianevych2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaLukianevychR − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.440.6+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaLukianevychBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 375 vs 198 / 39655.7%50%209 / 375 vs 198 / 396Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaReva 1.73/Lukianevych 2.00
Hit
What we said
54%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lukianevych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:35V. Reva—151111133V. Lukianevych—111199112
WAug 30 · 14:55V. Reva—14116113V. Lukianevych—1241181
LAug 27 · 17:35V. Reva—1271181V. Lukianevych—14119113
WAug 19 · 15:35V. Reva—117912113V. Lukianevych—811111052
WAug 12 · 13:05V. Reva—111011113V. Lukianevych—612771
WAug 10 · 14:05V. Reva—111111113V. Lukianevych—881391
WAug 5 · 17:05V. Reva—11116113V. Lukianevych—771181
LJul 28 · 19:05V. Reva—11971162V. Lukianevych—911118113
LJul 27 · 19:35V. Reva—51161162V. Lukianevych—118115113
WJul 16 · 16:05V. Reva—11139113V. Lukianevych—5111141
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581WSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980LSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
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