TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061853
Played Sep 2Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114113511611119
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Andrii Sydorenko 1979 below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 82 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 59.8%
82 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 24–53 Andrii Sydorenko 1979 Vadim Reva has won 24 of their 77 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 24:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sydorenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-53 in 77
Sydorenko
Wrong
gap of 29 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1273 vs Sydorenko 1410
Sydorenko
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 20% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 30% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva -4 · Sydorenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 2.10 / Sydorenko 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sydorenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061853
Reva2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog52% won 44 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back36% 17 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Sydorenko1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 97 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva7wins
AwaySydorenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva71.4%5 of 7
AwaySydorenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva7Sydorenko3n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S2Reva5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Reva6Sydorenko4n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S4Reva3Sydorenko5n = 8Sydorenko took 5 of 8
S5Reva4Sydorenko1n = 5Reva took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaSydorenkoR − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.5+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 375 vs 205 / 31455.5%65.3%208 / 375 vs 205 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoReva 2.10/Sydorenko 1.67
Miss
What we said
59.8%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva—145731A. Sydorenko—121111113
WAug 27 · 15:35V. Reva—11411113A. Sydorenko—911691
WAug 19 · 17:35V. Reva—411119113A. Sydorenko—11671162
WAug 12 · 16:35V. Reva—1111113A. Sydorenko—8870
WAug 9 · 19:35V. Reva—1211113A. Sydorenko—10680
LAug 5 · 15:05V. Reva—1171011102A. Sydorenko—611125123
WJul 28 · 15:05V. Reva—1111211113A. Sydorenko—73111382
LJul 27 · 15:35V. Reva—371181A. Sydorenko—11116113
WJul 16 · 15:05V. Reva—118115113A. Sydorenko—81181122
WJul 14 · 17:05V. Reva—711911113A. Sydorenko—11911272
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133LSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113WSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:35M. Karelov3.5011740A. Sydorenko1.281311113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Reva2.00145731A. Sydorenko1.73121111113WSep 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.6381171142A. Sydorenko1.44119116113
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