TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055569
Played Sep 1Finished
Iurii Chernyshov
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–8Last 9Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114511511311––
Vadim Reva
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Chernyshov above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 61 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Vadim Reva at 79.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Chernyshov 0–1 Vadim Reva Iurii Chernyshov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Reva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chernyshov 1029 vs Reva 1350
Reva
Correct
both rated, 321 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chernyshov 20% vs Reva 40%
Reva
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chernyshov 11% vs Reva 60%
Reva
Correct
49pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chernyshov -1 · Reva +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Reva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChernyshov 4.50 / Reva 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Reva)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055569
Chernyshov4.50
11%won 1 of 9 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Reva1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 66 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChernyshov0wins
AwayReva1wins
Reva leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricChernyshovRevaC − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChernyshovRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 9 vs 208 / 37011.1%56.2%1 / 9 vs 208 / 370Avg sets wonper match0.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaChernyshov 4.50/Reva 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 27 · 14:35I. Chernyshov—5880V. Reva—1111113
I. Chernyshov10
LSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113WSep 1 · 15:05M. Karelov1.611210116132I. Chernyshov2.201012411153LAug 27 · 19:05H. Buianover1.73101111113I. Chernyshov2.00126771WAug 27 · 18:05M. Karelov1.44111091182I. Chernyshov2.63612117113LAug 27 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.611711123I. Chernyshov2.20158100LAug 27 · 14:35V. Reva1.501111113I. Chernyshov2.505880LAug 27 · 12:35A. Sydorenko1.3691111143I. Chernyshov3.001197121LAug 19 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.008240V. Leonov1.361111113
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113LSep 1 · 17:35M. Karelov3.251111113V. Reva1.337560WSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych2.00111199112V. Reva1.73151111133WAug 27 · 14:35V. Reva1.501111113I. Chernyshov2.505880
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