TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023164
Played Aug 27Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012116117117––
Iurii Chernyshov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–7Last 8Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeHennadii Buianover to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Iurii Chernyshov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Hennadii Buianover at 65.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 1–0 Iurii Chernyshov Iurii Chernyshov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Buianover
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1209 vs Chernyshov 1029
Buianover
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 20% vs Chernyshov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 40% vs Chernyshov 13%
Buianover
Correct
28pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover -1 · Chernyshov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buianover) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chernyshov form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 1.73 / Chernyshov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Buianover)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13023164
Buianover1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 27 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Chernyshov2.00
13%won 1 of 8 · last 10
oldest → newest
38%takes the first set · 3 of 8
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBuianover1wins
AwayChernyshov0wins
Buianover leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBuianoverChernyshovB − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.032.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverChernyshovBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 368 vs 1 / 939.7%11.1%146 / 368 vs 1 / 9Avg sets wonper match1.80.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.133.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverBuianover 1.73/Chernyshov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 19:05H. Buianover—101111113I. Chernyshov—126771
H. Buianover10
WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123LSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113WSep 1 · 18:05H. Buianover3.5011711113A. Sydorenko1.28211661WSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113LSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.531111113H. Buianover2.388980
I. Chernyshov10
LSep 1 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.75115761A. Sydorenko1.2571111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych1.301111123I. Chernyshov3.4077100LSep 1 · 16:05I. Chernyshov2.632770H. Buianover1.441111113WSep 1 · 15:05M. Karelov1.611210116132I. Chernyshov2.201012411153LSep 1 · 13:35I. Chernyshov4.50115531V. Reva1.1741111113WAug 27 · 18:05M. Karelov1.44111091182I. Chernyshov2.63612117113LAug 27 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.611711123I. Chernyshov2.20158100LAug 27 · 14:35V. Reva1.501111113I. Chernyshov2.505880LAug 27 · 12:35A. Sydorenko1.3691111143I. Chernyshov3.001197121LAug 19 · 19:05I. Chernyshov3.008240V. Leonov1.361111113
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